Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen ZhengIndian Wells Quarter-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Quarter-final
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#138WTA
1852ELO
1832Hard ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLLW
Swiatek I.
6-3 6-3
Zheng Q.
Swiatek I.
662
Zheng Q.
330

Iga Swiatek defeated Qinwen Zheng 6-3 6-3 in the Indian Wells quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending the title. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

Head to head

61
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsSFclayQinwen Zheng6-2 7-5
2024-02-19DubaiQFhardIga Swiatek6-3 6-2
2024-01-01United CupQFhardIga Swiatek6-2 6-3
2023-08-14CincinnatiR16hardIga Swiatek3-6 6-1 6-1
2023-04-17StuttgartR16clayIga Swiatek6-1 6-4
2022-10-10San DiegoR16hardIga Swiatek6-4 4-6 6-1
2022-05-23Roland GarrosR16clayIga Swiatek6-7(5) 6-0 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Zheng Q.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Swiatek I.Zheng Q.
67
Serve
98
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
93
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+190 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1832
7.0Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1852
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.8
Surface form
4.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.6
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
98

Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Zheng Q.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw