Clara Tauson vs Marie Bouzkova | Wuhan Round of 128

UMPIRY

WuhanR128HardMon 12 Oct · ~12:30Court 1 · After 1 match

Clara TausonWTA #44 · DEN33%

VSClear favourite · Bouzkova M.

Marie BouzkovaWTA #27 · CZE67%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Bouzkova M.

33%67%

Clear edge for Bouzkova M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Tauson C.5.8/10

Slight disadvantage

Bouzkova M.6.8/10

Slight advantage

Why

Surface+23 Hard Elo edgeSupports Bouzkova M.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1871Supports Bouzkova M.

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardInformative

This eventReached the last 16 here last yearInformative

ELO1 837

Hard ELO1 742

Last 103–7

Age23

Height182 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $5.7M2026 $1.3M

ELO1 974

Hard ELO1 785

Last 106–4

Age28

Height180 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $8.5M2026 $2.1M

Clara Tauson faces Marie Bouzkova in the Wuhan round of 128 on hard. Marie Bouzkova is the paper favourite — ranked #27, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 20-point hard Elo advantage — but Clara Tauson has won their only previous meeting.

Key context

Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Clara Tauson grades 46 on serve, Marie Bouzkova 59 on return.
Freshness: Clara Tauson comes in with 9 days of rest and 30 games in 14d, vs Marie Bouzkova's 6 and 55.
Surface form: Clara Tauson 3 of 10, Marie Bouzkova 6 of 10 on hard recently — Marie Bouzkova the sharper of late.

Common opponents

8 shared · last 12 months

Tauson C. and Bouzkova M. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Tauson C. went 3–6 (33%) against them, Bouzkova M. 6–2 (75%). Bouzkova M. came out clearly better against 5 of 8 comparable opponents, Tauson C. against 1 — though 1 of those edges carries caveats (retirement).

3–633%Tauson C. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents6–275%Bouzkova M. · better vs 5

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

9–15Sets11–5

107–121Games85–61

0–2Tiebreaks0–1

3–3Deciding sets1–1

vs Mboko V.#15L6-7 7-5 3-6Australian Open · hardL5-7 2-6Doha · hard
vs Gibson T.#37L6-7 6-4 4-6Indian Wells · hardW6-1 3-6 6-2Wimbledon · grass
vs Oliynykova O.#47L1-6 1-3Rome · clayW3-1Strasbourg · clay

Show 5 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Zheng Q.#54W5-7 6-4 6-2Bad Homburg · grassL6-7(3) 6-4 5-7Beijing · hard
vs Siniakova K.#55L4-6 1-6Doha · hardW6-3Strasbourg · clay
vs Cristian J.#60L1-6 5-7Strasbourg · clayW6-4 6-3Brisbane · hard
vs Zarazua R.#94W3-6 6-3 6-0Monterrey · hardW6-2 7-5Australian Open · hard
vs Kudermetova P.#104L4-6 6-4 4-6Beijing · hardW6-0 6-3London · grass

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Tauson C. leads 1–0

Tauson C.September 2021LuxembourgHard6-3 6-2

Evidence

Tauson C.Bouzkova M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss3–76–4

Season win rate41% (16–23)60% (32–21)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18371974

Hard-court ELO17421785

Serve vs returnLast 37 vs 50 matches

1st-serve points won69%65%

Return points won41%45%

Aces / match6.61.6

ClutchLast 37 vs 50 matches

Break points saved57%58%

When it starts

Court 1 · After 1 match · Followed by

1Kalinina A. v Kartal S.Starting at 11:00 AM
2This match: Tauson C. v Bouzkova M.This match
3Paolini J. v Bejlek S.Followed by
4McNally C. v Starodubtseva Y.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 1 · ~12:30 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast27°C · Clear

Wind10 km/h

Humidity51%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Tauson C.Bouzkova M.

9Days since last match6

0Matches · 7 days1

0Games · 7 days35

1Matches · 14 days2

30Games · 14 days55

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Clara Tauson vs Marie Bouzkova — Wuhan Round of 128", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/bouzkova-vs-tauson-wuhan-r128?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).