Qinwen Zheng vs Clara Tauson — Bad Homburg Round of 16
CHN
DEN
Zheng Q.
Qinwen Zheng faces Clara Tauson in the Bad Homburg round of 16 on grass. Clara Tauson holds the paper edge — ranked #25, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 30-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Qinwen Zheng comes in with 5 days of rest and 78 games in 14d, vs Clara Tauson's 6 and 39.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Qinwen Zheng has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 94 vs 71).
- Last match: Qinwen Zheng edged Solana Sierra in three tight sets (7–5 4–6 6–4).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.