Qinwen Zheng vs Clara Tauson — Bad Homburg Round of 16

Bad Homburg · WTA · Round of 16

CHN

Qinwen Zheng

#123WTA

1852ELO

1622Grass ELO

$283kYTD

$10MCAREER

23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLWWLWLWL

1 — 2

Sets

Wednesday, 24 June 2026 · 12:55

grass

DEN

Clara Tauson

#30WTA

1802ELO

1649Grass ELO

$911kYTD

$5.3MCAREER

23 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLWWWLLWL

Zheng Q.

7-5 4-6 2-6

Tauson C.

Zheng Q.

7421

Tauson C.

5662

Clara Tauson defeated Qinwen Zheng in the Round of 16 at the Bad Homburg grass tournament. Tauson won the match 5-7, 6-4, 6-2, breaking serve two times to Zheng's one. The victory advanced Tauson to the next round.

Key context

Match story: Clara Tauson dropped the opening set before beating Qinwen Zheng 5–7 6–4 6–2.

Head to head

0–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2020-08-21	W15 Oeiras 1	QF	clay	Clara Tauson	6-0 3-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season

Zheng Q.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Tauson C.

Tauson C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on grass

Zheng Q.Tauson C.

Serve

—

Return

—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Zheng Q.Tauson C.

1st serve in·Slight edge

56%

62%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

73%

68%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

49%

43%

Service points won·Even

63%

59%

Return points won·Even

38%

42%

Break points saved·Slight edge

65%

57%

Aces / match·Dominant

9.4

5.9

Double faults / match·Clear edge

4.5

3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Zheng Q.Tauson C.

Clutch Rating·Dominant

Break points saved·Slight edge

Break points won·Slight edge

Deciding sets·Dominant

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC

Zheng Q.53%

Tauson C.47%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Zheng Q.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Tauson C.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.6Grass Elo 1469

Surface ELO

5.4+36 Grass Elo edge

6.7Overall Elo 1832

ELO gap

3.3Overall Elo 1697

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.44 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

5.35 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Zheng Q.Tauson C.

Freshness·Slight edge

Zheng Q.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Tauson C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Fastbig serves, short points

SlowFast

Weather

32°CClear

Wind 8 km/hHumidity 43%

Qinwen Zheng vs Clara Tauson — Bad Homburg Round of 16

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on grass

Statistics

Clutch

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on grass