Clara Tauson vs Renata ZarazuaMonterrey Round of 32

Monterrey · WTA · Round of 32
#42WTA
1802ELO
1775Hard ELO
$911kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 25 August 2026 ·
hard
#71WTA
1663ELO
1639Hard ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Tauson C.
3-6 6-3 6-0
Zarazua R.
Tauson C.
3662
Zarazua R.
6301

Clara Tauson defeated Renata Zarazua in the Round of 16 at the Monterrey tournament, coming back from a set down to win 3-6, 6-3, 6-0. Tauson hit 11 aces and committed 6 double faults, while converting 46% of break points and winning 78% of first-serve points. Tauson won 6 service breaks to Zarazua's 3.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-15BJK Cup PlayoffsRRhardRenata Zarazua7-6 3-6 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
63%
75%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
69%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
0.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
72
17
Break points saved·Dominant
76
10
Break points won·Slight edge
91
80
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
17
Tiebreaks·
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Tauson C.70%
Zarazua R.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tauson C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+137 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1639
6.7Overall Elo 1802
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1663
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
57
88

Tauson C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Zarazua R.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw