Marie Bouzkova vs Maja Chwalinska | Wuhan Round of 32

UMPIRY

WuhanR32HardWed 14 Oct · 11:00Court 3 · Next on

Marie BouzkovaWTA #28 · CZE65%

VSSlight edge · Bouzkova M.

Maja Chwalinska(16)WTA #22 · POL35%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Bouzkova M.

65%35%

Bouzkova M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Bouzkova M.6.9/10

Slight advantage

Chwalinska M.5.2/10

Clear underdog

Why

Surface+63 Hard Elo edgeSupports Bouzkova M.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1871Supports Bouzkova M.

This eventReached the R32 here last yearSupports Bouzkova M.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Chwalinska M.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

ELO1 981

Hard ELO1 796

Last 107–3

Age28

Height180 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $8.5M2026 $2.1M

ELO1 884

Hard ELO1 654

Last 105–5

Age25

Height164 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $3.0M2026 $2.2M

Marie Bouzkova faces Maja Chwalinska in the Wuhan round of 32 on hard. Marie Bouzkova brings the better recent hard form (7 of 10).

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Marie Bouzkova 64 games in 14 days, Maja Chwalinska 16.
Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Marie Bouzkova grades 45 on serve, Maja Chwalinska 77 on return.
Last match: Marie Bouzkova advanced when Clara Tauson retired.

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Bouzkova M. and Chwalinska M. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Bouzkova M. went 2–10 (17%) against them, Chwalinska M. 4–4 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 2 better-results split).

2–1017%Bouzkova M. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents4–450%Chwalinska M. · better vs 2

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

4–21Sets9–8

94–140Games74–67

0–3Tiebreaks0–0

1–1Deciding sets0–1

vs Andreeva M.#3L4-6 2-6Roland Garros · clayL3-6 2-6Roland Garros · clay
vs Mertens E.#14L4-6 4-6Wimbledon · grassW6-4 6-0Roland Garros · clay
vs Zheng Q.#23L6-7(3) 6-4 5-7Beijing · hardW6-4 6-0Roland Garros · clay

Show 4 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Gibson T.#41W6-1 3-6 6-2Wimbledon · grassL5-7 1-6Toronto · hard
vs Kalinina A.#48L4-6 3-6Madrid · clayL7-5 2-6 1-6Australian Open · hard
vs Oliynykova O.#51W3-1Strasbourg · clayW6-0 6-1Singapore · hard
vs Townsend T.#89L6-7(4) 5-7Toronto · hardL2-6 3-6US Open · hard

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bouzkova M.Chwalinska M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–35–5

Season win rate61% (33–21)67% (34–17)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO19811884

Hard-court ELO17961654

Serve vs returnLast 51 matches each

1st-serve points won65%60%

Return points won45%50%

Aces / match1.60.7

ClutchLast 51 matches each

Break points saved58%53%

When it starts

Court 3 · Next on · Starting at 11:00 AM

1This match: Bouzkova M. v Chwalinska M.This match
2Putintseva Y. v Shnaider D.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 3 · 11:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast24°C · Partly cloudy

Wind12 km/h

Humidity55%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Bouzkova M.Chwalinska M.

1Days since last match11

1Matches · 7 days0

9Games · 7 days0

3Matches · 14 days1

64Games · 14 days16

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Marie Bouzkova vs Maja Chwalinska — Wuhan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/bouzkova-vs-chwalinska-wuhan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).