Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Maja Chwalinska — Singapore Round of 16
POL5
Oliynykova O.
Oleksandra Oliynykova faces Maja Chwalinska in the Singapore round of 16 on hard. Maja Chwalinska is the paper favourite — ranked #25, a roughly 160-point hard Elo advantage — but Oleksandra Oliynykova arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 6 on hard to Maja Chwalinska's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Chwalinska M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Oleksandra Oliynykova 0 games in 14 days, Maja Chwalinska 18.
- Last match: Maja Chwalinska dropped just 6 games past Rebecca Sramkova.
- Surface form: Oleksandra Oliynykova 3 of 6, Maja Chwalinska 2 of 6 on hard recently — Oleksandra Oliynykova the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadOliynykova O.: 19 days rest · Chwalinska M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.