Caty Mcnally vs Yuliia Starodubtseva

UMPIRY

WuhanR128HardMon 12 Oct · ~15:45Court 1 · After 2 matches

Caty McnallyWTA #72 · USA64%

VSSlight edge · McNally C.

Yuliia StarodubtsevaWTA #45 · UKR36%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · McNally C.

64%36%

McNally C. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

McNally C.5.8/10

Slight disadvantage

Starodubtseva Y.5.8/10

Slight disadvantage

Why

Surface+63 Hard Elo edgeSupports McNally C.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1817Supports McNally C.

Recent run2-match win streakSupports McNally C.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports McNally C.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 916

Hard ELO1 730

Last 106–4

Age24

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $4.3M2026 $1.3M

ELO1 818

Hard ELO1 640

Last 104–6

Age26

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $2.8M2026 $1.2M

Caty Mcnally faces Yuliia Starodubtseva in the Wuhan round of 128 on hard. Caty Mcnally holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Freshness: Caty Mcnally comes in with 1 days of rest and 63 games in 14d, vs Yuliia Starodubtseva's 11 and 32.
Under pressure: In the tight moments, Yuliia Starodubtseva has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 75 vs 44).
Head-to-head: Caty Mcnally leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Austin 125 1 2026.

Common opponents

8 shared · last 12 months

McNally C. and Starodubtseva Y. faced 8 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. McNally C. went 7–5 (58%) against them, Starodubtseva Y. 3–6 (33%). McNally C. came out better against 4 of 7 comparable opponents, Starodubtseva Y. against 1.

7–558%McNally C. · better vs 4Record vs common opponents3–633%Starodubtseva Y. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

15–15Sets7–13

138–140Games94–107

1–1Tiebreaks0–2

4–2Deciding sets0–2

vs Rybakina E.#1L1-6 2-6Wimbledon · grassW3-6 6-1Roland Garros · clay
vs Navarro E.#24W4-6 6-0 6-4s Hertogenbosch · grassL4-6 4-6Nottingham · grass
vs Tjen J.#49W7-5 6-7 6-3Eastbourne · grassW6-4 6-3Monterrey · hard

Show 5 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Kessler M.#77W6-3 6-4Cincinnati · hardW6-4 6-4Charleston · clay
vs Wang X.#85W4-6 6-3 7-6(5)Memphis · hardL3-6 5-7Roland Garros · clay
vs Sierra S.#93L6-1 4-6 1-6Hobart · hardL4-6 3-6Manila 125 · hard
vs Tomljanovic A.#103W6-4 4-6 6-3Guangzhou · hardL6-4 6-7 1-6Australian Open · hard
vs Bencic B.#12Hard to compareL4-6 0-6Roland Garros · clayL7-5 4-6 5-7Ningbo · hard

Head-to-head

1 meeting · McNally C. leads 1–0

McNally C.March 2026Austin 125 1Hard7-5 4-6 6-4

Evidence

McNally C.Starodubtseva Y.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–44–6

Season win rate57% (28–21)55% (29–24)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO19161818

Hard-court ELO17301640

Serve vs returnLast 43 vs 37 matches

1st-serve points won61%63%

Return points won45%45%

Aces / match1.32.1

ClutchLast 43 vs 37 matches

Break points saved58%62%

When it starts

Court 1 · After 2 matches · Followed by

1Kalinina A. v Kartal S.5-7 3-6
2Tauson C. v Bouzkova M.Followed by
3Paolini J. v Bejlek S.Followed by
4This match: McNally C. v Starodubtseva Y.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 1 · ~15:45 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast29°C · Clear

Wind6 km/h

Humidity45%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

McNally C.Starodubtseva Y.

1Days since last match11

2Matches · 7 days0

44Games · 7 days0

3Matches · 14 days1

63Games · 14 days32

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Caty Mcnally vs Yuliia Starodubtseva — Wuhan Round of 128", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/mcnally-vs-starodubtseva-wuhan-r128?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).