Solana Sierra vs Yuliia StarodubtsevaManila 125 Round of 16

Manila 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#56WTA
1783ELO
1657Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 January 2026
hard
#55WTA
1759ELO
1668Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWL
Sierra S.
6-4 6-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Sierra S.
662
Starodubtseva Y.
43

Solana Sierra defeated Yuliia Starodubtseva 6-4 6-3 in the Manila 125 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Yuliia Starodubtseva came in ranked #55.

Key context

  • Match story: Solana Sierra closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sierra S.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Starodubtseva Y.

Starodubtseva Y.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sierra S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sierra S.Starodubtseva Y.
12
Serve
9
6
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
89
Break points won·Even
96
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
66
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
88
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1657
Surface ELO
5.6+11 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1783
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
7.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
8.5
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
96

Sierra S.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Starodubtseva Y.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast