Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Mccartney KesslerCharleston Quarter-final

Charleston · WTA · Quarter-final
#61WTA
1759ELO
1719Clay ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#46WTA
1808ELO
1673Clay ELO
$545kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
Starodubtseva Y.
6-4 6-4
Kessler M.
Starodubtseva Y.
662
Kessler M.
440

Yuliia Starodubtseva defeated Mccartney Kessler 6-4 6-4 in the Charleston quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Mccartney Kessler came in ranked #46, but Yuliia Starodubtseva had arrived on a 4-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Starodubtseva Y.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kessler M.

Kessler M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Starodubtseva Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Starodubtseva Y.Kessler M.
62
Serve
42
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
75
84
Break points saved·Even
89
91
Break points won·Even
95
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
66
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+46 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1673
3.8Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1808
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
4.3
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
6.1
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
98

Starodubtseva Y.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kessler M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 44%