

Frances Tiafoe defeated Marin Cilic in the Round of 64 at the Montreal tournament, 5-7, 6-2, 6-2. Tiafoe and Cilic served an equal number of aces, nine each, but Tiafoe committed fewer double faults, two to Cilic's four. Tiafoe converted 57 percent of break points, compared to 17 percent for Cilic, and won four service breaks to Cilic's one.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-09-14 | Davis Cup WG SF: CRO vs USA | RR | clay | Marin Cilic | 6-1 6-3 7-6 |
| 2017-09-22 | Laver Cup | RR | hard | Marin Cilic | 7-6 7-6 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clear favourite · Tiafoe F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About