Alexander Bublik vs Marin CilicUS Open Round of 128

US Open · ATP · Round of 128
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 August 2025
hard
#62ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Bublik A.
6-4 6-1 6-4
Cilic M.
Bublik A.
6663
Cilic M.
414

Alexander Bublik defeated Marin Cilic 6-4 6-1 6-4 in the US Open round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's round of 128. Alexander Bublik claimed a first win over Marin Cilic in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexander Bublik came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 6–1 6–4.

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-13Queen's ClubR16grassMarin Cilic7-6(6) 7-5
2021-05-10Rome MastersR64clayMarin Cilic4-6 6-2 6-3
2020-09-14Rome MastersR64clayMarin Cilic6-7(4) 6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Cilic M.
65
Serve
57
25
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
67%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
67%
70%
Aces / match·Clear edge
10.8
9.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
76
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
67
41
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
70
98

Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Cilic M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw

R128
Bellucci M.
Shang J.
7-601-66-33-0
Norrie C.
Korda S.
7-56-4
Sinner J.
Kopriva V.
6-16-16-2
Giron M.
Navone M.
6-07-54-65-76-4
Rinderknech A.
Carballes Baena R.
7-627-54-66-2
Ruud C.
Ofner S.
6-16-27-65
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shevchenko A.
6-16-16-2
Collignon R.
Galan D.
6-46-46-4
Harris L.
Baez S.
6-37-56-4
Darderi L.
Hijikata R.
6-26-16-2
Kym J.
Quinn E.
6-36-23-67-65
Cobolli F.
Passaro F.
7-54-66-43-66-3
Popyrin A.
Ruusuvuori E.
6-36-47-63
Royer V.
Yunchaokete B.
6-16-47-61
Svajda Z.
Piros Z.
6-46-27-5
Spizzirri E.
Dostanic S.
7-56-47-64
Bonzi B.
Medvedev D.
6-37-56-750-66-4
Etcheverry T.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-36-26-0
Bublik A.
Cilic M.
6-46-16-4
Schoolkate T.
Sonego L.
6-37-681-61-67-66
Borges N.
Holt B.
6-46-26-3
Paul T.
Moller E.
6-36-36-1
Musetti L.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-736-36-46-4
Goffin D.
Halys Q.
6-726-46-37-5
Brooksby J.
Vukic A.
6-36-746-43-66-4
Fearnley J.
Bautista Agut R.
7-56-25-76-4
Walton A.
Humbert U.
6-47-645-76-1
Wong C.
Kovacevic A.
6-47-57-64
Boyer T.
Duckworth J.
6-37-56-4
Altmaier D.
Medjedovic H.
7-56-737-676-756-4
Mochizuki S.
Gaston H.
6-46-36-4
Comesana F.
Michelsen A.
1-66-36-46-4
Struff J.
Mcdonald M.
3-67-646-36-3
Safiullin R.
Monfils G.
6-42-66-13-66-4
Zverev A.
Tabilo A.
6-27-646-4
Draper J.
Gomez F.
6-47-56-776-2
Bergs Z.
Tseng C.
6-36-46-3
Rune H.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-37-647-62
Munar J.
Faria J.
6-06-35-76-2
Diallo G.
Dzumhur D.
7-644-67-57-5
Shapovalov D.
Fucsovics M.
6-46-46-0
Khachanov K.
Basavareddy N.
6-756-37-56-1
Rublev A.
Prizmic D.
6-46-46-4
Mensik J.
Jarry N.
7-656-36-4
Fonseca J.
Kecmanovic M.
7-637-656-3
Auger Aliassime F.
Harris B.
6-47-686-4
Machac T.
Nardi L.
6-36-16-1
Majchrzak K.
Dellien H.
6-16-46-756-4
Lehecka J.
Coric B.
3-66-47-656-1
Mannarino A.
Griekspoor T.
7-56-46-0
Thompson J.
Moutet C.
6-26-41-66-3
De Minaur A.
Oconnell C.
6-36-46-4
Carreno Busta P.
Llamas Ruiz P.
7-676-46-2
Shelton B.
Buse I.
6-36-26-4
Fritz T.
Nava E.
7-56-26-3
Nakashima B.
De Jong J.
6-26-752-66-27-67
Blanchet U.
Marozsan F.
6-43-67-676-2
Damm M.
Blanch D.
6-36-46-4
Tiafoe F.
Nishioka Y.
6-37-666-3
Riedi L.
Martinez P.
6-46-26-3
Alcaraz C.
Opelka R.
6-47-56-4
Cerundolo F.
Arnaldi M.
3-62-67-56-46-3
Tsitsipas S.
Muller A.
4-66-06-17-65
Djokovic N.
Tien L.
6-17-636-2