Julia Grabher vs Jeline VandrommeKitzbuhel Quarter-final

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#116WTA
1613ELO
1593Clay ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLWLWLW
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
GRANDSTAND · 2nd on
#129WTA
1646ELO
1491Clay ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
WWLWWWWLWW
Grabher J.
vs
Vandromme J.

Julia Grabher faces Jeline Vandromme in the Kitzbuhel quarter-final on clay. Julia Grabher is the paper favourite — ranked #116, a roughly 100-point clay Elo advantage — but Jeline Vandromme arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 7 on clay to Julia Grabher's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Grabher J.46%
Vandromme J.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.3+102 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1491
4.2Overall Elo 1613
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1646
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Grabher J.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Vandromme J.

Vandromme J.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Grabher J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
67
63

Grabher J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Vandromme J.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 101 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on GRANDSTAND · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Andreeva E. v Kraus S.
  2. 2Grabher J. v Vandromme J.This match
  3. 3Erjavec V. v Feistel M.

Conditions

Weather forecast
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.