Anastasia Tikhonova vs Eva BennemannKitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#262WTA
1347ELO
1319Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLLLWL
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
#322WTA
1381ELO
1263Clay ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
LLWWWLLLLW
Tikhonova A.
vs
Bennemann E.

Anastasia Tikhonova faces Eva Bennemann in the Kitzbuhel round of 32 on clay. Anastasia Tikhonova holds the paper edge — ranked #262, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Tikhonova A.47%
Bennemann E.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+55 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1263
2.9Overall Elo 1347
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1381
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.23 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
51%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
54%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
49%
Break points saved·Even
51%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
0.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tikhonova A.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Bennemann E.

Bennemann E.serving46% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Tikhonova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
23°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.