Erika Andreeva vs Sinja KrausKitzbuhel Quarter-final

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#231WTA
1553ELO
1503Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWLWLLW
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
clay
GRANDSTAND · 1st on
#94WTA
1736ELO
1696Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLLWWL
Andreeva E.
vs
Kraus S.

Erika Andreeva faces Sinja Kraus in the Kitzbuhel quarter-final on clay. Sinja Kraus holds the paper edge — ranked #94, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Andreeva E.18%
Kraus S.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kraus S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.6Clay Elo 1503
Surface ELO
7.4+193 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1553
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1736
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Andreeva E.serving43% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Kraus S.

Kraus S.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Andreeva E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
67
58
Break points saved·Clear edge
56
43
Break points won·Slight edge
86
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
42

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
71
79

Andreeva E.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Kraus S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on GRANDSTAND · not before Starting at 11:00 AM · up next on court

  1. 1Andreeva E. v Kraus S.This match
  2. 2Grabher J. v Vandromme J.
  3. 3Erjavec V. v Feistel M.

Conditions

Weather forecast
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.