Julia Grabher vs Elena Ruxandra BerteaKitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#116WTA
1613ELO
1593Clay ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLWLWLL
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
#269WTA
1494ELO
1477Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10
LLLWWLWLWW
Grabher J.
vs
Bertea E.

Julia Grabher faces Elena Ruxandra Bertea in the Kitzbuhel round of 32 on clay. Julia Grabher holds the paper edge — ranked #116, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Grabher J.88%
Bertea E.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Grabher J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+115 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1477
6.2Overall Elo 1613
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1494
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.45 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
41%
Service points won·Even
54%
52%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
47%
51%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Grabher J.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Bertea E.

Bertea E.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Grabher J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
88

Grabher J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
23°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.