Maria Lourdes Carle vs Barbora PalicovaKitzbuhel Round of 16

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#218WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLWWLL
0 — 1
Sets
Interrupted
Thursday, 16 July 2026 ·
clay
GRANDSTAND · 3rd on
#322WTA
1380ELO
1374Clay ELO
22 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWLWWLW
Carle M.
0-6 3-1
Palicova B.
Carle M.
030
Palicova B.
611

Serve vs return

This season
Carle M.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Palicova B.

Palicova B.serving38% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Key context

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
29
7
Break points saved·Clear edge
26
42
Break points won·Dominant
97
71
Deciding sets·Dominant
60
2
Tiebreaks·
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 55%

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+88 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Clay Elo 1374
6.1Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1380
5.7Leads 2–1 on clay
H2H
4.3Trails 1–2 on clay
6.16 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Break points saved·Even
49%
51%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.7
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
72
67

Carle M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d) · Palicova B.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Maria Lourdes Carle faces Barbora Palicova in the Kitzbuhel round of 16 on clay. Maria Lourdes Carle holds the paper edge — ranked #218, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.