Martina Colmegna vs Barbora PalicovaKitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#359WTA
1277ELO
1266Clay ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
INTERWETTEN · 1st on
#322WTA
1380ELO
1374Clay ELO
22 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWW
Colmegna M.
6-3 6-7 1-6
Palicova B.
Colmegna M.
66411
Palicova B.
37762

Barbora Palicova survived two match points to beat Martina Colmegna in the Kitzbuhel round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 3: Martina Colmegna broke serve.
  • Comeback: Barbora Palicova recovered from a set deficit to win.
  • Pressure points: Martina Colmegna converted 6 of 12 break points; Barbora Palicova converted 8 of 13 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Colmegna M.
Palicova B.
Break points won
6/12
8/13
Break points saved
5/13
6/12

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Colmegna M.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Palicova B.

Palicova B.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Colmegna M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
74%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
55%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.6
1.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:20 UTC
Colmegna M.31%
Palicova B.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Palicova B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1266
Surface ELO
6.3+108 Clay Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1277
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1380
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
6.36 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.35 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
85

Colmegna M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Palicova B.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 46%