Veronika Erjavec vs Victoria BosioKitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#89WTA
1629ELO
1610Clay ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLWLWW
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
#347WTA
1239ELO
1219Clay ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLLLWL
Erjavec V.
vs
Bosio V.

Veronika Erjavec faces Victoria Bosio in the Kitzbuhel round of 32 on clay. Veronika Erjavec holds the paper edge — ranked #89, a roughly 390-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC
Erjavec V.81%
Bosio V.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Erjavec V. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
9.9+392 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.1Clay Elo 1218
6.9Overall Elo 1628
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1239
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Bosio V.Sliding

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Erjavec V.serving39% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Bosio V.

Bosio V.serving39% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Erjavec V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Erjavec V.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
29°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 29%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.