Mia Ristic vs Mia Pohankova — Kitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

SRB

Mia Ristic

#267WTA

1504ELO

1479Clay ELO

20 yrs

Last 10

LWWWLLLLWL

—

Sets

Monday, 13 July 2026 · 11:00

clay

SVK

Mia Pohankova

#243WTA

1708ELO

1601Clay ELO

17 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

LLWLWLWWWW

Ristic M.

Pohankova M.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC

Ristic M.15%

Pohankova M.85%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Pohankova M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Ristic M.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Pohankova M.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Form & Matchup

3.5Clay Elo 1479

Surface ELO

6.5+122 Clay Elo edge

3.1Overall Elo 1504

ELO gap

6.9Overall Elo 1708

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.44 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

8.44 of last 5 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Fatigue & Travel

Surface transition

3.0Grass → Clay

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Ristic M.Cooling

Pohankova M.Sliding

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season

Ristic M.Pohankova M.

1st serve in·Slight edge

69%

58%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

60%

68%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

54%

48%

Service points won·Even

58%

60%

Return points won·Even

44%

Break points saved·Clear edge

52%

64%

Aces / match·Dominant

1.7

5.2

Double faults / match·Dominant

0.9

4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Ristic M.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Pohankova M.

Pohankova M.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Ristic M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Ristic M.Pohankova M.

Freshness·

—

100

Pohankova M.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

23°CMainly clear

Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw — qualifying

Final