Mayar Sherif vs Kaitlin Quevedo — Iasi Round of 16
Sherif M.
Mayar Sherif faces Kaitlin Quevedo in the Iasi round of 16 on clay. Mayar Sherif holds the paper edge — ranked #97.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Quevedo K. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Mayar Sherif 115 games in 14 days, Kaitlin Quevedo 98.
- Last match: Kaitlin Quevedo dropped just 4 games past Elena Gabriela Ruse.
- Last match: Mayar Sherif handed Dalma Galfi a second-set bagel in a 6–2 6–0 win.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSherif M.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 115 games (7d) · Quevedo K.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.