Ilinca Dalina Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot — Iasi Round of 32
Amariei I.
Ilinca Dalina Amariei faces Elsa Jacquemot in the Iasi round of 32 on clay. Elsa Jacquemot is the paper favourite — a roughly 250-point clay Elo advantage — but Ilinca Dalina Amariei arrives in form, winning 2 of their last 5 on clay to Elsa Jacquemot's 1.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Jacquemot E. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Ilinca Dalina Amariei 24 games in 14 days, Elsa Jacquemot 34.
- Last match: Ilinca Dalina Amariei dropped the opening set before beating Carmen Andreea Herea 3–6 6–4 6–2.
- Surface form: Ilinca Dalina Amariei 2 of 5, Elsa Jacquemot 1 of 5 on clay recently — Ilinca Dalina Amariei the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About
Freshness
Recent loadAmariei I.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Jacquemot E.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.