Katarzyna Kawa vs Simona Waltert — Iasi Round of 32
Kawa K.
Katarzyna Kawa faces Simona Waltert in the Iasi round of 32 on clay. Simona Waltert is the paper favourite — ranked #90 — but Katarzyna Kawa arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 7 on clay to Simona Waltert's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Katarzyna Kawa 17 games in 14 days, Simona Waltert 105.
- Under pressure: Simona Waltert has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 78 vs Katarzyna Kawa's 51).
- Surface form: Katarzyna Kawa 5 of 7, Simona Waltert 4 of 7 on clay recently — Katarzyna Kawa the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadKawa K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Waltert S.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 90 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.