Emiliana Arango vs Tamara ZidansekIasi Round of 32

Iasi · WTA · Round of 32
#97WTA
1624ELO
1553Clay ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWWLLL
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
#131WTA
1655ELO
1639Clay ELO
28 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLWLLW
Arango E.
vs
Zidansek T.

Emiliana Arango faces Tamara Zidansek in the Iasi round of 32 on clay. Emiliana Arango holds the paper edge — ranked #97. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Arango E.40%
Zidansek T.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Zidansek T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Emiliana Arango 49 games in 14 days, Tamara Zidansek 0.
  • Surface form: Both 1 of 4 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1553
Surface ELO
6.1+86 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1624
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1655
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
3.74 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.45 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

16 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
52%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
52%
Aces / match·Even
0.7
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Arango E.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Zidansek T.

Zidansek T.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
57
63
Break points saved·Clear edge
56
39
Break points won·Slight edge
81
91
Deciding sets·Clear edge
70
85
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
100

Arango E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Zidansek T.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 85%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.