Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Ipek OzIasi Round of 32

Iasi · WTA · Round of 32
#52WTA
1773ELO
1733Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWLWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 5 · 3rd on
TURLL
#424WTA
1378ELO
1363Clay ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWL
Oliynykova O.
vs
Oz I.

Oleksandra Oliynykova faces Ipek Oz in the Iasi round of 32 on clay. Oleksandra Oliynykova holds the paper edge — ranked #52, a roughly 370-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:20 UTC
Oliynykova O.89%
Oz I.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Oliynykova O. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Under pressure: Oleksandra Oliynykova has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 78 vs Ipek Oz's 4).
  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Oleksandra Oliynykova 44 games in 14 days, Ipek Oz 15.
  • Surface form: Both 5 of 8 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
9.6+370 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.4Clay Elo 1363
8.6Overall Elo 1773
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1378
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Oz I.Surging

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

17 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
75%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
50%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Even
52%
55%
Aces / match·Even
0.6
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Oliynykova O.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Oz I.

Oz I.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Oliynykova O.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
4
Break points saved·Dominant
75
44
Break points won·Clear edge
99
80
Deciding sets·Dominant
80
1
Tiebreaks·
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
90

Oliynykova O.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Oz I.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on COURT 5 · not before Followed by · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Avanesyan E. v Uchijima M.
  2. 2Sherif M. v Galfi D.
  3. 3Oliynykova O. v Oz I.This match
  4. 4Udvardy P. v Romero Gormaz L.
  5. 5Kawa K. v Waltert S.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.