Panna Udvardy vs Leyre Romero GormazIasi Round of 32

Iasi · WTA · Round of 32
#71WTA
1681ELO
1629Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWLLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 5 · 4th on
#146WTA
1616ELO
1583Clay ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLLWWW
Udvardy P.
vs
Romero Gormaz L.

Panna Udvardy faces Leyre Romero Gormaz in the Iasi round of 32 on clay. Panna Udvardy is the paper favourite — ranked #71, a roughly 50-point clay Elo advantage — but Leyre Romero Gormaz arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on clay to Panna Udvardy's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Udvardy P.58%
Romero Gormaz L.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Udvardy P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+46 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Clay Elo 1583
5.2Overall Elo 1681
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1616
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

20 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Udvardy P.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Romero Gormaz L.

Romero Gormaz L.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Udvardy P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
39
19
Break points saved·Clear edge
68
46
Break points won·Clear edge
77
91
Deciding sets·Slight edge
15
22
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on clay

Udvardy P.Romero Gormaz L.
23
Serve
24
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
99
74

Udvardy P.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Romero Gormaz L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

4th on COURT 5 · not before Followed by · 3 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Avanesyan E. v Uchijima M.
  2. 2Sherif M. v Galfi D.
  3. 3Oliynykova O. v Oz I.
  4. 4Udvardy P. v Romero Gormaz L.This match
  5. 5Kawa K. v Waltert S.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CThunderstorm
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 85%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.