Yulia Putintseva vs Claire Liu — Iasi Round of 32
Putintseva Y.
Yulia Putintseva faces Claire Liu in the Iasi round of 32 on clay. Yulia Putintseva holds the paper edge — ranked #82, leading the head-to-head 2–1, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Putintseva Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Yulia Putintseva comes in with 3 days of rest and 94 games in 14d, vs Claire Liu's 1 and 117.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Yulia Putintseva has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 83 vs 61).
- Last match: Claire Liu dropped just 5 games past Ipek Oz.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadPutintseva Y.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 74 games (7d) · Liu C.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on CENTER COURT · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Quevedo K. v Ruse E.
- 2Putintseva Y. v Liu C.This match
- 4Badosa P. v Kalinina A.
Conditions
Head to head
2–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-17 | Budapest | R16 | clay | Claire Liu | 6-3 7-6(8) |
| 2023-04-24 | Madrid | R128 | clay | Yulia Putintseva | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-01-09 | Hobart | R32 | hard | Yulia Putintseva | 6-2 6-4 |