Elina Avanesyan vs Petra Marcinko — Iasi Round of 16
Elina Avanesyan faces Petra Marcinko in the Iasi round of 16 on clay. Petra Marcinko is the paper favourite — ranked #45, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage — but Elina Avanesyan rides a 3-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Marcinko P. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Elina Avanesyan comes in with 1 days of rest and 48 games in 14d, vs Petra Marcinko's 1 and 77.
- Last match: Elina Avanesyan dropped just 6 games past Maiko Uchijima.
- Win streak: Elina Avanesyan arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadAvanesyan E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 48 games (7d) · Marcinko P.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
5th on CENTER COURT · not before Followed by · 2 matches still to finish ahead
- 2Putintseva Y. v Charaeva A.
- 3Bondar A. v Zidansek T.
- 5Avanesyan E. v Marcinko P.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.