Kaitlin Quevedo vs Elena Gabriela RuseIasi Round of 32

Iasi · WTA · Round of 32
#100WTA
1757ELO
1714Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWLWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#72WTA
1850ELO
1744Clay ELO
28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWWLWW
Quevedo K.
vs
Ruse E.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Quevedo K.41%
Ruse E.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ruse E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1714
Surface ELO
5.4+30 Clay Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1850
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.77 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Ruse E.Rising

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Quevedo K.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ruse E.

Ruse E.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Quevedo K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
54
66
Break points saved·Dominant
30
72
Break points won·Clear edge
77
98
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
65
98

Quevedo K.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 98 games (7d) · Ruse E.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on CENTER COURT · not before Starting at 12:00 PM · up next on court

  1. 1Quevedo K. v Ruse E.This match
  2. 2Putintseva Y. v Liu C.
  3. 4Badosa P. v Kalinina A.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 76%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.