Dominika Salkova vs Alevtina IbragimovaIasi Round of 32

Iasi · WTA · Round of 32
#127WTA
1618ELO
1552Clay ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLLWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 6 · 2nd on
#275WTA
1508ELO
1472Clay ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLLWWLW
Salkova D.
vs
Ibragimova A.

Dominika Salkova faces Alevtina Ibragimova in the Iasi round of 32 on clay. Dominika Salkova is the paper favourite — ranked #127, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage — but Alevtina Ibragimova rides a 3-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:20 UTC
Salkova D.65%
Ibragimova A.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Salkova D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.0+80 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1472
6.0Overall Elo 1618
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1508
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

28 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
44%
Service points won·Even
54%
54%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Salkova D.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Ibragimova A.

Ibragimova A.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Salkova D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
91

Salkova D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Ibragimova A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on COURT 6 · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Arango E. v Zidansek T.
  2. 2Salkova D. v Ibragimova A.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 73%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.