Yulia Putintseva vs Alina CharaevaIasi Round of 16

Iasi · WTA · Round of 16
#82WTA
1805ELO
1740Clay ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLLLWL
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#118WTA
1694ELO
1652Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWWLW
Putintseva Y.
vs
Charaeva A.

Yulia Putintseva faces Alina Charaeva in the Iasi round of 16 on clay. Yulia Putintseva holds the paper edge — ranked #82, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Putintseva Y.60%
Charaeva A.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Putintseva Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+89 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Clay Elo 1652
5.9Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.46 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

21 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
72%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.1
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Putintseva Y.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Charaeva A.

Charaeva A.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Putintseva Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
83
56
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
75
Break points won·Clear edge
98
85
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
91

Putintseva Y.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 54 games (7d) · Charaeva A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 13 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on CENTER COURT · not before Not before 1:30 PM · up next on court

  1. 2Putintseva Y. v Charaeva A.This match
  2. 3Bondar A. v Zidansek T.
  3. 5Avanesyan E. v Marcinko P.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
24°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 76%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.