Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

AUS

Tristan Schoolkate

#123ATP

1560ELO

1566Grass ELO

$201kYTD

$1.5MCAREER

25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLWLLWWLW

—

Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

GBR

Oliver Tarvet

#342ATP

1526ELO

1595Grass ELO

22 yrs

Last 10

WLLWLWWLLW

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC

Schoolkate T.54%

Tarvet O.46%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Schoolkate T.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Tarvet O.

6.9

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.6Grass Elo 1566

Surface ELO

5.4+29 Grass Elo edge

5.4Overall Elo 1560

ELO gap

4.6Overall Elo 1526

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.06 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.58 of last 10 on grass

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

Country comfort

9.0Home country · 5/6 here

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

12°CDrizzle

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 91%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Schoolkate T.Tarvet O.

63%1st serve in+3%60%

72%1st serve points won+3%69%

53%2nd serve points won+5%48%

65%Service points won+4%61%

37%Return points won+3%40%

61%Break points saved+4%57%

5.9Aces / match+14.9

3.3Double faults / match+0.42.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R32

R16

Quarter-finals

Semi-finals

Final

Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet — Ilkley Round of 16