Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith — Ilkley Round of 32

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
AUS
Alex Bolt
#157ATP
1596ELO
1584Grass ELO
$91kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWWWLL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 10 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 3 · 2nd on
USAQ
Keegan Smith
#252ATP
1421ELO
1411Grass ELO
27 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLWWWWW

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:20 UTC
Bolt A.91%
Smith K.9%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bolt A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bolt A.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Smith K.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.2+173 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Grass Elo 1410
7.2Overall Elo 1596
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1421
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.67 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
5.9Won 65% in GBR (23)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

When it starts

2nd on COURT 3 · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Lajal M. v Zheng M.
  2. 2Bolt A. v Smith K.This match

Conditions

Weather forecast
11°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 77%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Bolt A.Smith K.
62%1st serve in+14%76%
74%1st serve points won+3%71%
52%2nd serve points won+1%53%
65%Service points won+2%67%
34%Return points won+2%36%
66%Break points saved+2%68%
8.3Aces / match+1.66.7
1.9Double faults / match+0.12

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw