Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng — Ilkley Round of 32

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ESTLL
Mark Lajal
#154ATP
1598ELO
1587Grass ELO
$55kYTD
$612kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLLWLW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 10 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 3 · 1st on
USA
Michael Zheng
#147ATP
1696ELO
1528Grass ELO
$204kYTD
$397kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLLLWW

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:20 UTC
Lajal M.42%
Zheng M.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Lajal M.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Zheng M.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.7+58 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Grass Elo 1528
3.8Overall Elo 1598
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1696
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

When it starts

1st on COURT 3 · not before Starting at 10:30 AM · up next on court

  1. 1Lajal M. v Zheng M.This match
  2. 2Bolt A. v Smith K.

Conditions

Weather forecast
10°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 93%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Lajal M.Zheng M.
61%1st serve in+2%63%
74%1st serve points won+4%70%
48%2nd serve points won+2%50%
64%Service points won+1%63%
37%Return points won+3%40%
69%Break points saved+6%63%
7.4Aces / match+3.34.1
3.2Double faults / match+1.81.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw