Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb — Ilkley Round of 32
Around the match
“It's never easy facing a Brit in the grass court season first round, and it's my first time defending points after making the final here last year. I'm really happy with how I handled it and managed to get over the line in straight sets. I love the grass, it really suits my game, and it's nice to be in the UK.”
Schoolkate T.lta.org.uk ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Tristan Schoolkate faces Paul Jubb in the Ilkley round of 32 on grass. Tristan Schoolkate is the paper favourite — ranked #123, a roughly 120-point grass Elo advantage — but Paul Jubb rides a 3-match win streak.
Key context
- Last match: Paul Jubb dropped the opening set before beating Mark Lajal 6–7 6–2 7–6.
- Fatigue load: Paul Jubb carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Win streak: Paul Jubb arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Schoolkate T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent formAverages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.