Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington JonesIlkley Round of 16

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#355ATP
1436ELO
1418Grass ELO
20 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWWLL
Sets
Thursday, 11 June 2026 ·
grass
#133ATP
1590ELO
1602Grass ELO
$153kYTD
$494kCAREER
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLWWLLW

Filippo Romano faces Jack Pinnington Jones in the Ilkley round of 16 on grass. Jack Pinnington Jones is the paper favourite — ranked #133, a roughly 180-point grass Elo advantage — but Filippo Romano rides a 3-match win streak.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Filippo Romano carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Win streak: Filippo Romano arrives on a 3-match winning run.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC
Romano F.10%
Pinnington Jones J.90%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Pinnington Jones J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Grass Elo 1418
Surface ELO
7.3+185 Grass Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1436
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1590
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.77 of last 8 on grass
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
7.0Home country · 3/6 here
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast
12°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 91%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
64%1st serve in+2%66%
72%1st serve points won+1%71%
47%2nd serve points won+1%48%
63%Service points won63%
37%Return points won+1%36%
67%Break points saved+5%62%
5.3Aces / match+0.25.1
2.3Double faults / match+1.53.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.