Ugo Blanchet vs Oliver Tarvet — Ilkley Round of 32

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

FRA

Ugo Blanchet

#173ATP

1536ELO

1445Grass ELO

$75kYTD

$945kCAREER

27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWLLWWLLL

0 — 2

Sets

Monday, 8 June 2026 · 18:20

grass

COURT 1 · 4th on

GBRWC

Oliver Tarvet

#342ATP

1526ELO

1595Grass ELO

22 yrs

Last 10 · pre-match

LLWLWWLLWL

Oliver Tarvet won five games in a row to see off Ugo Blanchet 6-3 6-3 in the Ilkley round of 32.

Key context

Set 1, game 1: Ugo Blanchet broke serve.
Set 2, game 3: Oliver Tarvet broke serve.
Pressure points: Ugo Blanchet converted 1 of 3 break points; Oliver Tarvet converted 4 of 9 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC

Blanchet U.24%

Tarvet O.76%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tarvet O. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Blanchet U.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Tarvet O.

7.0

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

3.1Grass Elo 1445

Surface ELO

6.9+149 Grass Elo edge

5.1Overall Elo 1536

ELO gap

4.9Overall Elo 1526

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.33 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.27 of last 9 on grass

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Country comfort

8.8Home country · 4/5 here

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Blanchet U.

330

Tarvet O.

662