Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk — Madrid Quarter-final

Madrid · WTA · Quarter-final
BLR
Aryna Sabalenka
[1]
#1WTA
2240ELO
2116Clay ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 22 April 2025
clay
UKR
Marta Kostyuk
[24]
#15WTA
2032ELO
1959Clay ELO
$1.4MYTD
$8.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Marta Kostyuk 7-6 7-6 in the Madrid quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Kostyuk M.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+158 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1959
7.8Overall Elo 2240
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 2032
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.0
Surface form
5.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
6.9
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Sabalenka A.
77792
Kostyuk M.
64670

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
0.84
SlowFast
Weather
14°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 74%

Head to head

4–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2025-05-06RomeR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 7-6(8)
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR128clayAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2022-02-14DubaiR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Sabalenka A.Kostyuk M.
65%1st serve in+5%60%
74%1st serve points won+4%70%
56%2nd serve points won+8%48%
68%Service points won+7%61%
43%Return points won+7%50%
70%Break points saved+9%61%
5.4Aces / match+2.43
2Double faults / match+1.93.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Gauff C.[4]
6-37-63
Semi-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-16-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Svitolina E.[17]
6-37-5
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[2]
Keys M.[5]
0-66-36-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostyuk M.[24]
7-647-67
Svitolina E.[17]
Uchijima M.
6-26-1
Gauff C.[4]
Andreeva M.[7]
7-56-1
R16
Uchijima M.
Alexandrova E.[21]
6-47-65
Andreeva M.[7]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-16-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Shnaider D.[13]
6-06-736-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Stearns P.
6-26-4
Svitolina E.[17]
Sakkari M.
6-36-4
Kostyuk M.[24]
Potapova A.
6-36-2
Gauff C.[4]
Bencic B.
6-46-2
Keys M.[5]
Vekic D.[19]
6-26-3
R32
Shnaider D.[13]
Sevastova A.
6-06-0
Alexandrova E.[21]
Kasatkina D.[14]
6-37-63
Gauff C.[4]
Li A.
6-26-3
Kostyuk M.[24]
Kudermetova V.
6-04-66-4
Stearns P.
Masarova R.
6-26-0
Andreeva M.[7]
Frech M.[27]
7-56-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Samsonova L.[18]
2-67-626-0
Vekic D.[19]
Navarro E.[11]
4-66-36-2
Svitolina E.[17]
Rybakina E.[10]
6-36-4
Bencic B.
Haddad Maia B.[16]
6-34-67-62
Keys M.[5]
Kalinskaya A.[30]
7-57-63
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mertens E.[28]
3-66-26-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Noskova L.[31]
6-46-2
Potapova A.
Kenin S.[32]
3-66-47-66
Uchijima M.
Pegula J.[3]
6-36-2
Sakkari M.
Paolini J.[6]
6-26-1
R64
Sabalenka A.[1]
Blinkova A.
6-36-4
Kenin S.[32]
Sun L.
6-36-2
Shnaider D.[13]
Volynets K.
6-16-2
Gauff C.[4]
Yastremska D.
0-66-27-5
Masarova R.
Putintseva Y.[22]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Eala A.
4-66-46-2
Uchijima M.
Jabeur O.[26]
4-66-36-4
Vekic D.[19]
Baptiste H.
6-46-3
Haddad Maia B.[16]
Pera B.
2-66-36-1
Sevastova A.
Ostapenko J.[23]
7-626-2
Samsonova L.[18]
Dolehide C.
6-46-4
Kudermetova V.
Bucsa C.
4-67-617-5
Starodubtseva Y.
Cocciaretto E.
7-656-4
Sakkari M.
Linette M.[29]
7-656-3
Mertens E.[28]
Osorio C.
6-36-3
Kasatkina D.[14]
Parks A.
6-27-5
Noskova L.[31]
Carle M.
7-56-1
Kalinskaya A.[30]
Parry D.
7-646-4
Keys M.[5]
Bronzetti L.
6-46-3
Andreeva M.[7]
Bouzkova M.
6-36-4
Frech M.[27]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
5-77-626-4
Navarro E.[11]
Joint M.
7-57-5
Bencic B.
Tauson C.[20]
7-57-5
Pegula J.[3]
Lys E.
6-26-2
Rybakina E.[10]
Andreescu B.
6-36-2
Stearns P.
Anisimova A.[15]
6-22-67-5
Kostyuk M.[24]
Raducanu E.
6-42-66-2
Potapova A.
Zheng Q.[8]
6-46-4
Alexandrova E.[21]
Danilovic O.
6-36-4
Svitolina E.[17]
Kartal S.
6-36-1
Paolini J.[6]
Boulter K.
6-16-2
Li A.
Fernandez L.[25]
6-43-66-4
R128
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Sherif M.
6-36-1
Carle M.
Sramkova R.
6-36-2
Osorio C.
Arango E.
6-36-3
Pera B.
Fett J.
6-46-3
Bronzetti L.
Osaka N.
6-42-66-4
Potapova A.
Krueger A.
6-776-46-2
Raducanu E.
Lamens S.
7-646-4
Eala A.
Tomova V.
6-36-2
Li A.
Sasnovich A.
6-36-2
Sakkari M.
Wang X.
6-47-67
Starodubtseva Y.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-2
Baptiste H.
Cirstea S.
6-25-77-64
Kudermetova V.
Kudermetova P.
6-26-2
Yastremska D.
Jones F.
7-654-66-3
Masarova R.
Tomljanovic A.
6-31-67-5
Parry D.
Begu I.
6-36-4
Bencic B.
Sonmez Z.
6-06-2
Bouzkova M.
Zarazua R.
6-24-66-1
Dolehide C.
Avanesyan E.
6-46-4
Lys E.
Kostovic T.
6-26-2
Joint M.
Martinez Cirez C.
6-22-66-4
Sun L.
Gracheva V.
3-66-16-4
Kartal S.
Cristian J.
6-27-5
Volynets K.
Kvitova P.
6-46-0
Boulter K.
Siniakova K.
4-66-26-1
Sevastova A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-47-5
Danilovic O.
Azarenka V.
6-46-2
Andreescu B.
Kessler M.
6-26-4
Uchijima M.
Montgomery R.
1-66-46-3
Blinkova A.
Udvardy P.
6-46-2
Stearns P.
Birrell K.
5-76-36-4
Parks A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-36-3