Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys — Beijing Round of 16

Beijing · WTA · Round of 16
BLR
Aryna Sabalenka
[1]
#1WTA
2240ELO
2211Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$49MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
USA
Madison Keys
[18]
#19WTA
1948ELO
1901Hard ELO
$657kYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWLWL

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
Keys M.
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 51 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
8.9+311 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1901
8.7Overall Elo 2240
ELO gap
1.3Overall Elo 1948
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
3.3
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Country comfort
5.5
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Sabalenka A.
662
Keys M.
430

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
0.96
SlowFast

Head to head

5–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2025-03-05Indian WellsSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-0 6-1
2025-01-13Australian OpenFhardMadison Keys6-3 2-6 7-5
2023-08-28US OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka0-6 7-6(1) 7-6(5)
2023-07-03WimbledonQFgrassAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-4
2021-06-14BerlinR16grassMadison Keys6-4 1-6 7-5
2018-08-13CincinnatiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Sabalenka A.Keys M.
65%1st serve in+1%64%
74%1st serve points won+8%66%
55%2nd serve points won+12%43%
67%Service points won+9%58%
43%Return points won43%
69%Break points saved+11%58%
5.3Aces / match+0.84.5
2.1Double faults / match+2.84.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Gauff C.[4]
Muchova K.
6-16-3
Semi-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Badosa P.[15]
4-66-46-2
Muchova K.
Zheng Q.[5]
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Starodubtseva Y.
2-66-26-2
Muchova K.
Sabalenka A.[1]
7-652-66-4
Badosa P.[15]
Zhang S.
6-17-64
Zheng Q.[5]
Andreeva M.[17]
5-76-06-4
R16
Gauff C.[4]
Osaka N.
3-66-40-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Keys M.[18]
6-46-3
Muchova K.
Bucsa C.
6-26-0
Andreeva M.[17]
Linette M.[31]
6-16-3
Zheng Q.[5]
Anisimova A.[34]
3-66-16-2
Zhang S.
Frech M.[23]
6-46-2
Badosa P.[15]
Pegula J.[2]
6-46-0
Starodubtseva Y.
Kalinskaya A.[10]
7-56-0
R32
Gauff C.[4]
Boulter K.[26]
7-56-2
Badosa P.[15]
Sramkova R.
7-57-5
Linette M.[31]
Paolini J.[3]
6-46-0
Frech M.[23]
Shnaider D.[12]
0-66-36-4
Osaka N.
Volynets K.
6-36-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Krueger A.
6-26-2
Keys M.[18]
Haddad Maia B.[13]
6-36-3
Bucsa C.
Mertens E.[24]
4-66-26-2
Zheng Q.[5]
Podoroska N.
6-36-2
Kalinskaya A.[10]
Stearns P.
3-66-33-1
Zhang S.
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Pegula J.[2]
Kudermetova V.[32]
6-796-16-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Avanesyan E.
6-36-1
Anisimova A.[34]
Kasatkina D.[9]
7-616-4
Andreeva M.[17]
Vekic D.[16]
3-66-46-4
Muchova K.
Cristian J.
6-16-3
R64
Muchova K.
Yuan Y.[30]
6-36-1
Stearns P.
Fernandez L.[20]
7-56-2
Krueger A.
Sun L.[29]
6-17-64
Bucsa C.
Samsonova L.[11]
6-14-66-4
Paolini J.[3]
Tauson C.
1-67-56-4
Linette M.[31]
Uchijima M.
6-44-66-3
Andreeva M.[17]
Begu I.
6-756-16-1
Podoroska N.
Yastremska D.[25]
7-56-746-2
Vekic D.[16]
Golubic V.
4-67-636-4
Kasatkina D.[9]
Fett J.
6-16-2
Osaka N.
Putintseva Y.[21]
3-66-46-2
Boulter K.[26]
Townsend T.
6-46-4
Gauff C.[4]
Burel C.
7-56-3
Frech M.[23]
Parks A.
6-45-76-4
Shnaider D.[12]
Kenin S.
6-26-3
Kudermetova V.[32]
Wang X.
3-66-47-5
Pegula J.[2]
Parry D.
6-17-64
Haddad Maia B.[13]
Wei S.
7-56-4
Mertens E.[24]
Cocciaretto E.
6-46-766-3
Avanesyan E.
Dolehide C.[33]
6-35-76-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Siniakova K.[27]
6-26-2
Kalinskaya A.[10]
Baptiste H.
3-67-627-65
Volynets K.
Kostyuk M.[14]
7-56-3
Zhang S.
Navarro E.[6]
6-46-2
Keys M.[18]
Sorribes Tormo S.
6-26-1
Anisimova A.[34]
Osorio C.
1-66-36-4
Zheng Q.[5]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-1
Badosa P.[15]
Tomova V.
6-36-2
Cristian J.
Krejcikova B.[7]
1-66-47-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Sawangkaew M.
6-46-1
Minnen G.
Potapova A.[28]
7-52-66-4
Sramkova R.
Alexandrova E.[22]
5-76-46-3
R128
Tauson C.
Dart H.
5-76-46-1
Bucsa C.
Yao X.
6-36-2
Avanesyan E.
Bektas E.
6-27-5
Baptiste H.
Gracheva V.
6-06-3
Muchova K.
Blinkova A.
6-16-1
Krueger A.
Wang Y.
3-66-46-2
Sorribes Tormo S.
Gao X.
6-747-57-5
Podoroska N.
Ren Y.
6-46-2
Rakhimova K.
Birrell K.
6-26-4
Stearns P.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-26-4
Zhang S.
Kessler M.
7-657-61
Begu I.
Ma Y.
1-66-46-1
Sawangkaew M.
Diyas Z.
6-26-3
Cristian J.
Bondar A.
6-17-65
Uchijima M.
Shi H.
6-36-4
Golubic V.
Wang X.
7-650-66-3
Fett J.
Wang M.
6-36-4
Osorio C.
Tomljanovic A.
1-66-36-3
Volynets K.
Galfi D.
7-56-1
Osaka N.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Townsend T.
Trevisan M.
6-24-66-3
Minnen G.
Andreeva E.
7-56-2
Kenin S.
Bogdan A.
7-56-2
Tomova V.
Tsurenko L.
6-36-3
Sramkova R.
Kalinina A.
6-46-0
Parry D.
Liang E.
4-66-06-0
Burel C.
Korpatsch T.
6-35-76-3
Parks A.
Wang Q.
1-66-46-2
Wang X.
Hontama M.
6-16-3
Cocciaretto E.
Rodionova A.
4-66-46-3
Wei S.
Ruse E.
6-47-66
Starodubtseva Y.
Siegemund L.
6-47-63