Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys: Head-to-Head Record

Aryna SabalenkaBelarusWTA #2 · 28 y
Head-to-head
6–2
Sabalenka leads · 8 meetings
Hard5–1Grass1–1
Madison KeysUnited StatesWTA #20 · 31 y
Sabalenka leads
Hard5–1Grass1–1

Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys have met 8 times on the professional tour. Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head 6–2. Their most recent meeting came at Brisbane in 2026.

How the two players compare today
Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys stats comparison
Today
SabalenkaKeys
#2Official rank#20
2,266Elo2,070
7–3Last 106–4
96Serve56
50Return37
100Clutch92

Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys stats comparison

#2Official rank#20
2,266Elo2,070
7–3Last 106–4
96Serve56
50Return37
100Clutch92
Current form
Last 10 · most recent first
Sabalenka7–3Streak L1
LWLWWWWWWL
Keys6–4Streak L1
LWWLWWWLWL

Current form

Last 10 · newest first
7–3Last 106–4
L1StreakL1
Sabalenka
LWLWWWWWWL
Keys
LWWLWWWLWL
Surface comparison
SabalenkaKeys
2,266Elo2,070
83%Win % · 12M67%
53–11W–L · 12M35–17
6H2H2

Surface comparison

2,266Elo2,070
83%Win % · 12M67%
53–11W–L · 12M35–17
6H2H2
Serve vs return
Umpiry ratings · 12M
Sabalenka serve96vsKeys return37
Edge Sabalenka +59Sabalenka serve vs Keys return
65%Service points wonreturn points won44%
71%1st-serve points wonwon on return38%
Keys serve56vsSabalenka return50
Edge Keys +6Keys serve vs Sabalenka return
61%Service points wonreturn points won44%
68%1st-serve points wonwon on return36%

Serve vs return

Ratings · 12M
Sabalenka serve96vsKeys return37
Edge Sabalenka +59
65%Service points won · return points won44%
71%1st-serve points won · won on return38%
Keys serve56vsSabalenka return50
Edge Keys +6
61%Service points won · return points won44%
68%1st-serve points won · won on return36%
Clutch
Last 12 months
SabalenkaKeys
63%186 / 296Break points saved62%191 / 307
67%12–6Tiebreaks won50%5–5
46%6–7Deciding sets won50%9–9

Clutch

Last 12 months
63%186 / 296Break points saved62%191 / 307
67%12–6Tiebreaks won50%5–5
46%6–7Deciding sets won50%9–9
Freshness
Sabalenka · Keys
Last match
10 days agoBeijing · R32vs39 days agoUS Open · R32
Matches · last 30 days
2vs0
Sets · last 14 days
4vs0

Freshness

10 days agoBeijing · R32Last match39 days agoUS Open · R32
2Matches · last 30 days0
4Sets · last 14 days0
Common opponents
15 common opponents · last 12 months
Combined record vs common opponentsSabalenka16–4 · 80%Keys11–11 · 50%
Opponent · by rankSabalenkaKeys
Linda Noskova#82–00–1

Common opponents

15 common opponents · last 12 months
Combined16–411–11
OpponentSabalenkaKeys
Jessica Pegula2–10–2
Linda Noskova2–00–1
Marta Kostyuk1–00–1
Diana Shnaider0–11–1
All 8 meetings
Last 5 of 8
4 Jan 2026BrisbaneWTA 500Quarter-finalHardSabalenka d. Keys6–3 6–35 Mar 2025Indian WellsWTA 1000Semi-finalHardSabalenka d. Keys6–0 6–113 Jan 2025Australian OpenGrand SlamFinalHardKeys d. Sabalenka6–3 2–6 7–525 Sep 2024BeijingWTA 1000Round of 16HardSabalenka d. Keys6–4 6–328 Aug 2023US OpenGrand SlamSemi-finalHardSabalenka d. Keys0–6 7–6 7–6

All 8 meetings

Last 5 of 8
Brisbane · Quarter-final4 Jan 2026Sabalenka d. Keys6–3 6–3Hard·WTA 500Indian Wells · Semi-final5 Mar 2025Sabalenka d. Keys6–0 6–1Hard·WTA 1000Australian Open · Final13 Jan 2025Keys d. Sabalenka6–3 2–6 7–5Hard·Grand SlamBeijing · Round of 1625 Sep 2024Sabalenka d. Keys6–4 6–3Hard·WTA 1000US Open · Semi-final28 Aug 2023Sabalenka d. Keys0–6 7–6 7–6Hard·Grand Slam
Career titles2512
Grand Slam titles41
Career-high rank#1#5
Career W–L461–169410–230
Age2831
Height182 cm178 cm
PlaysRight-handedRight-handed
CountryBelarusUnited States
Turned pro—Pro(February17,2009)

Career & profile

SabalenkaKeys
Career titles2512
Grand Slam titles41
Career-high rank#1#5
Career W–L461–169410–230
Age2831
Height182 cm178 cm
PlaysRight-handedRight-handed
CountryBelarusUnited States
Turned pro—Pro(February17,2009)
More on Umpiry · about this comparison

Frequently asked

Who leads the head-to-head between Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys?

Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head against Madison Keys 6–2 after 8 meetings.

How many times have Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys played each other?

Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys have played each other 8 times on the professional tour.

When did Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys last play each other?

Their most recent meeting came at Brisbane in 2026, where Aryna Sabalenka won.

How is the head-to-head record counted?

Every completed singles match between the two players counts once: tour level, Grand Slams, Challengers, ITF, team events and qualifying. Retirements count; walkovers do not.

What are the Serve, Return and Clutch ratings?

Umpiry ratings from 0 to 100: where a player ranks on tour over the last 52 weeks, adjusted for opponent strength. Clutch combines break points saved and converted, tiebreaks and deciding sets. A player with too few recent matches has no rating yet.

Why is there no win probability here?

This page compares the two players. The chance to win a specific match, with its surface, round and conditions, is on that match’s detail page.

Cite this

Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head against Madison Keys 6–2. Umpiry, "Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys: Head-to-Head Record", https://umpiry.com/h2h/aryna-sabalenka-blr-vs-madison-keys-usa?utm_source=cite (as of 4 January 2026).