Madison Keys vs Aryna Sabalenka — Berlin Round of 16
USA
BLR1
Keys M.
Madison Keys defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 1-6 7-5 in the Berlin round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 6–1, but Madison Keys had been the form player, winning 6 of their last 7 on grass. Madison Keys narrowed the head-to-head to 6–2.
Key context
- Match story: Madison Keys closed it out in three sets, 6–4 1–6 7–5.
Head to head
1–6| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-0 6-1 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | F | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 2-6 7-5 |
| 2024-09-25 | Beijing | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-08-28 | US Open | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 0-6 7-6(1) 7-6(5) |
| 2023-07-03 | Wimbledon | QF | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2018-08-13 | Cincinnati | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 |
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadKeys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About