Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise MertensUS Open Round of 16

US Open · WTA · Round of 16
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 August 2024
hard
#24WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Sabalenka A.
6-2 6-4
Mertens E.
Sabalenka A.
662
Mertens E.
24

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elise Mertens 6-2 6-4 in the US Open round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 10–2, defending last year's final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 11–2.

Key context

Head to head

102
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-4 7-6(4)
2025-04-22MadridR32clayAryna Sabalenka3-6 6-2 6-1
2025-04-14StuttgartQFclayAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-1
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2021-08-30US OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-1
2021-04-29MadridQFclayAryna Sabalenka6-1 4-0 RET
2020-11-09LinzFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-2
2020-02-17DubaiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2019-10-22ZhuhaiRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 3-6 7-5
2018-08-06MontrealR16hardElise Mertens2-6 7-6(1) 6-0
2018-06-25EastbourneR16grassAryna Sabalenka7-5 2-6 7-6(4)
2018-04-09LuganoFclayElise Mertens7-5 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Mertens E.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Mertens E.
96
Serve
51
39
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 120). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
80
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
90
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
81

Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Mertens E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw

R128
Stearns P.
Tsurenko L.
6-17-5
Minnen G.
Frech M.
7-57-5
Vekic D.
Birrell K.
6-46-4
Bronzetti L.
Sun L.
6-3
Kasatkina D.
Cristian J.
6-26-4
Keys M.
Siniakova K.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.
Hon P.
6-36-3
Lepchenko V.
Fruhvirtova B.
2-1
Parry D.
Wang X.
7-627-65
Wang Y.
Sakkari M.
6-2
Uchijima M.
Korpatsch T.
3-66-36-4
Dolehide C.
Collins D.
1-67-56-4
Sorribes Tormo S.
Noel A.
6-16-3
Samsonova L.
Wang Q.
6-27-5
Rus A.
Bogdan A.
6-47-65
Niemeier J.
Yastremska D.
6-46-736-4
Tauson C.
Schmiedlova A.
1-67-656-2
Shnaider D.
Podoroska N.
6-06-1
Boulter K.
Sasnovich A.
5-76-26-1
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Martic P.
6-36-0
Haddad Maia B.
Avanesyan E.
4-66-06-2
Badosa P.
Golubic V.
6-06-3
Kalinskaya A.
Davis L.
6-26-2
Navarro E.
Blinkova A.
6-16-1
Dart H.
Paquet C.
6-16-2
Bondar A.
Pera B.
6-33-66-3
Swiatek I.
Rakhimova K.
6-47-66
Wang X.
Rodionova A.
3-66-46-1
Pliskova K.
Sherif M.
6-30-67-5
Paolini J.
Andreescu B.
6-756-26-4
Krejcikova B.
Bassols Ribera M.
7-636-2
Ruse E.
Grabher J.
6-26-4
Tomljanovic A.
Li A.
6-46-4
Joint M.
Siegemund L.
6-47-5
Azarenka V.
Starodubtseva Y.
3-66-16-1
Jovic I.
Linette M.
6-46-3
Alexandrova E.
Tomova V.
6-746-07-5
Mertens E.
Kudermetova V.
3-66-46-3
Kenin S.
Raducanu E.
6-13-66-4
Putintseva Y.
Noskova L.
7-636-4
Andreeva E.
Yuan Y.
6-37-67
Zheng Q.
Anisimova A.
4-66-46-2
Gauff C.
Gracheva V.
6-26-0
Maria T.
Sierra S.
6-26-3
Kalinina A.
Dodin O.
6-13-66-1
Svitolina E.
Carle M.
3-66-36-4
Shibahara E.
Saville D.
6-34-67-66
Cocciaretto E.
Baindl K.
6-36-0
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Preston T.
6-26-0
Andreeva M.
Osorio C.
6-27-64
Krueger A.
Zhang S.
0-66-17-5
Bouzkova M.
Lys E.
6-21-67-5
Errani S.
Bucsa C.
3-66-06-4
Pegula J.
Rogers S.
6-46-3
Rybakina E.
Aiava D.
6-17-61
Ponchet J.
Zheng S.
6-46-1
Wozniacki C.
Hibino N.
6-06-1
Zarazua R.
Garcia C.
6-16-4
Osaka N.
Ostapenko J.
6-36-2
Muchova K.
Volynets K.
6-37-5
Potapova A.
Fernandez L.
2-66-47-5
Townsend T.
Trevisan M.
6-27-5
Burel C.
Stephens S.
0-67-57-5
Kostyuk M.
Kessler M.
6-26-3