Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens — Madrid Round of 32

Madrid · WTA · Round of 32
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR1
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 22 April 2025
clay
Elise Mertens
BEL28
Elise Mertens
#27WTA
1894ELO
1811Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Sabalenka A.
3-6 6-2 6-1
Mertens E.
Sabalenka A.
3662
Mertens E.
6211

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elise Mertens 3-6 6-2 6-1 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 10–2, defending last year's final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 11–2.

Key context

Head to head

10–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-4 7-6(4)
2025-04-14StuttgartQFclayAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-1
2024-08-26US OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2021-08-30US OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-1
2021-04-29MadridQFclayAryna Sabalenka6-1 4-0 RET
2020-11-09LinzFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-2
2020-02-17DubaiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2019-10-22ZhuhaiRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 3-6 7-5
2018-08-06MontrealR16hardElise Mertens2-6 7-6(1) 6-0
2018-06-25EastbourneR16grassAryna Sabalenka7-5 2-6 7-6(4)
2018-04-09LuganoFclayElise Mertens7-5 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Mertens E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Mertens E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 68). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Mertens E.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
80
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
90
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Mertens E.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.0+292 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Clay Elo 1811
9.3Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1894
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.0
Surface form
5.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
7.1
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.9
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Mertens E.
Freshness·Clear edge
86
74

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Mertens E.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Gauff C.[4]
6-37-63
Semi-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-16-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Svitolina E.[17]
6-37-5
Quarter-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostyuk M.[24]
7-647-67
Svitolina E.[17]
Uchijima M.
6-26-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Keys M.[5]
0-66-36-2
Gauff C.[4]
Andreeva M.[7]
7-56-1
R16
Uchijima M.
Alexandrova E.[21]
6-47-65
Swiatek I.[2]
Shnaider D.[13]
6-06-736-4
Andreeva M.[7]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-16-4
Svitolina E.[17]
Sakkari M.
6-36-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Stearns P.
6-26-4
Kostyuk M.[24]
Potapova A.
6-36-2
Gauff C.[4]
Bencic B.
6-46-2
Keys M.[5]
Vekic D.[19]
6-26-3
R32
Shnaider D.[13]
Sevastova A.
6-06-0
Svitolina E.[17]
Rybakina E.[10]
6-36-4
Vekic D.[19]
Navarro E.[11]
4-66-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Samsonova L.[18]
2-67-626-0
Andreeva M.[7]
Frech M.[27]
7-56-3
Stearns P.
Masarova R.
6-26-0
Kostyuk M.[24]
Kudermetova V.
6-04-66-4
Gauff C.[4]
Li A.
6-26-3
Alexandrova E.[21]
Kasatkina D.[14]
6-37-63
Swiatek I.[2]
Noskova L.[31]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mertens E.[28]
3-66-26-1
Keys M.[5]
Kalinskaya A.[30]
7-57-63
Bencic B.
Haddad Maia B.[16]
6-34-67-62
Potapova A.
Kenin S.[32]
3-66-47-66
Uchijima M.
Pegula J.[3]
6-36-2
Sakkari M.
Paolini J.[6]
6-26-1
R64
Gauff C.[4]
Yastremska D.
0-66-27-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Blinkova A.
6-36-4
Kenin S.[32]
Sun L.
6-36-2
Shnaider D.[13]
Volynets K.
6-16-2
Masarova R.
Putintseva Y.[22]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Eala A.
4-66-46-2
Uchijima M.
Jabeur O.[26]
4-66-36-4
Vekic D.[19]
Baptiste H.
6-46-3
Haddad Maia B.[16]
Pera B.
2-66-36-1
Sevastova A.
Ostapenko J.[23]
7-626-2
Samsonova L.[18]
Dolehide C.
6-46-4
Kasatkina D.[14]
Parks A.
6-27-5
Mertens E.[28]
Osorio C.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.
Linette M.[29]
7-656-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Cocciaretto E.
7-656-4
Kudermetova V.
Bucsa C.
4-67-617-5
Rybakina E.[10]
Andreescu B.
6-36-2
Pegula J.[3]
Lys E.
6-26-2
Bencic B.
Tauson C.[20]
7-57-5
Navarro E.[11]
Joint M.
7-57-5
Frech M.[27]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
5-77-626-4
Andreeva M.[7]
Bouzkova M.
6-36-4
Keys M.[5]
Bronzetti L.
6-46-3
Kalinskaya A.[30]
Parry D.
7-646-4
Noskova L.[31]
Carle M.
7-56-1
Stearns P.
Anisimova A.[15]
6-22-67-5
Kostyuk M.[24]
Raducanu E.
6-42-66-2
Potapova A.
Zheng Q.[8]
6-46-4
Alexandrova E.[21]
Danilovic O.
6-36-4
Svitolina E.[17]
Kartal S.
6-36-1
Paolini J.[6]
Boulter K.
6-16-2
Li A.
Fernandez L.[25]
6-43-66-4
R128
Li A.
Sasnovich A.
6-36-2
Sakkari M.
Wang X.
6-47-67
Parks A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-36-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Sherif M.
6-36-1
Carle M.
Sramkova R.
6-36-2
Osorio C.
Arango E.
6-36-3
Pera B.
Fett J.
6-46-3
Bronzetti L.
Osaka N.
6-42-66-4
Potapova A.
Krueger A.
6-776-46-2
Raducanu E.
Lamens S.
7-646-4
Eala A.
Tomova V.
6-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-2
Baptiste H.
Cirstea S.
6-25-77-64
Kudermetova V.
Kudermetova P.
6-26-2
Yastremska D.
Jones F.
7-654-66-3
Masarova R.
Tomljanovic A.
6-31-67-5
Parry D.
Begu I.
6-36-4
Bencic B.
Sonmez Z.
6-06-2
Bouzkova M.
Zarazua R.
6-24-66-1
Dolehide C.
Avanesyan E.
6-46-4
Lys E.
Kostovic T.
6-26-2
Joint M.
Martinez Cirez C.
6-22-66-4
Boulter K.
Siniakova K.
4-66-26-1
Sun L.
Gracheva V.
3-66-16-4
Kartal S.
Cristian J.
6-27-5
Volynets K.
Kvitova P.
6-46-0
Stearns P.
Birrell K.
5-76-36-4
Blinkova A.
Udvardy P.
6-46-2
Uchijima M.
Montgomery R.
1-66-46-3
Andreescu B.
Kessler M.
6-26-4
Danilovic O.
Azarenka V.
6-46-2
Sevastova A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-47-5