Elise Mertens vs Aryna Sabalenka — Montreal Round of 16

Montreal · WTA · Round of 16
Elise Mertens
BEL14
Elise Mertens
#27WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 August 2018
hard
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Mertens E.
2-6 7-6 6-0
Sabalenka A.
Mertens E.
27762
Sabalenka A.
66101

Elise Mertens defeated Aryna Sabalenka 2-6 7-6 6-0 in the Montreal round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 11–1. Elise Mertens narrowed the head-to-head to 11–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR16grassAryna Sabalenka6-4 7-6(4)
2025-04-22MadridR32clayAryna Sabalenka3-6 6-2 6-1
2025-04-14StuttgartQFclayAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-1
2024-08-26US OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2021-08-30US OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-1
2021-04-29MadridQFclayAryna Sabalenka6-1 4-0 RET
2020-11-09LinzFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-2
2020-02-17DubaiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2019-10-22ZhuhaiRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 3-6 7-5
2018-06-25EastbourneR16grassAryna Sabalenka7-5 2-6 7-6(4)
2018-04-09LuganoFclayElise Mertens7-5 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mertens E.Sabalenka A.
51
Serve
96
54
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Mertens E.Sabalenka A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mertens E.Sabalenka A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
80
98
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
98
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Mertens E.Sabalenka A.
Freshness·Clear edge
74
86

Mertens E.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw

Final
Halep S.[1]
Stephens S.[3]
7-663-66-4
Semi-finals
Stephens S.[3]
Svitolina E.[5]
6-36-3
Halep S.[1]
Barty A.[15]
6-46-1
Quarter-finals
Svitolina E.[5]
Mertens E.[14]
7-56-3
Stephens S.[3]
Sevastova A.
6-26-2
Halep S.[1]
Garcia C.[6]
7-56-1
Barty A.[15]
Bertens K.
6-36-1
R16
Garcia C.[6]
Sharapova M.
6-36-2
Svitolina E.[5]
Konta J.
6-36-4
Stephens S.[3]
Suarez Navarro C.
6-27-5
Sevastova A.
Goerges J.[10]
6-37-62
Bertens K.
Kvitova P.[8]
6-36-2
Barty A.[15]
Cornet A.
7-636-4
Halep S.[1]
Williams V.[13]
6-26-2
Mertens E.[14]
Sabalenka A.
2-67-616-0
R32
Suarez Navarro C.
Tsurenko L.
6-43-2
Mertens E.[14]
Zhang S.
6-26-726-0
Konta J.
Azarenka V.
6-36-1
Stephens S.[3]
Abanda F.
6-06-2
Bertens K.
Pliskova K.[9]
6-26-2
Cornet A.
Kerber A.[4]
6-46-1
Sharapova M.
Kasatkina D.[12]
6-06-2
Williams V.[13]
Cirstea S.
7-646-4
Halep S.[1]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
7-694-67-5
Garcia C.[6]
Rybarikova M.
4-66-16-3
Sevastova A.
Puig M.
4-67-696-1
Svitolina E.[5]
Buzarnescu M.
6-36-754-3
Kvitova P.[8]
Kontaveit A.
6-36-4
Barty A.[15]
Van Uytvanck A.
7-676-2
Sabalenka A.
Wozniacki C.[2]
5-76-27-64
Goerges J.[10]
Safarova L.
2-66-46-3
R64
Zhang S.
Krejcikova B.
7-57-5
Konta J.
Ostapenko J.[11]
6-766-16-2
Abanda F.
Flipkens K.
6-36-2
Suarez Navarro C.
Osaka N.[16]
7-626-2
Bertens K.
Zhao C.
6-16-2
Pliskova K.[9]
Siniakova K.
6-46-4
Van Uytvanck A.
Zhuk S.
6-16-2
Williams V.[13]
Dolehide C.
7-56-1
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Mchale C.
6-36-2
Cornet A.
Maria T.
4-66-16-3
Sharapova M.
Karatantcheva S.
6-16-2
Azarenka V.
Mladenovic K.
6-06-1
Tsurenko L.
Boulter K.
6-46-2
Safarova L.
Saville D.
4-66-47-5
Sabalenka A.
Bogdan A.
6-44-66-3
Mertens E.[14]
Bouchard E.
6-26-4
Buzarnescu M.
Wang Q.
6-27-5
Goerges J.[10]
Babos T.
3-67-636-4
Sevastova A.
Krunic A.
6-16-0
Kontaveit A.
Makarova K.
4-66-36-1
Barty A.[15]
Begu I.
6-31-67-5
Rybarikova M.
Strycova B.
3-67-666-2
Kasatkina D.[12]
Sakkari M.
6-44-66-1
Cirstea S.
Niculescu M.
3-66-46-4