Elise Mertens vs Aryna Sabalenka — Lugano Final
Lugano · WTA · Final
BEL2#27WTA
1894ELO
1811Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 April 2018
clay
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Mertens E.7-5 6-2
Sabalenka A.
Mertens E.
762
Sabalenka A.
520
Elise Mertens defeated Aryna Sabalenka 7-5 6-2 in the Lugano final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 11–1. Elise Mertens narrowed the head-to-head to 11–2.
Key context
- Match story: Elise Mertens closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.
Head to head
1–11| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | R16 | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2025-04-22 | Madrid | R32 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 3-6 6-2 6-1 |
| 2025-04-14 | Stuttgart | QF | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | R32 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2021-08-30 | US Open | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2021-04-29 | Madrid | QF | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 4-0 RET |
| 2020-11-09 | Linz | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2020-02-17 | Dubai | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2019-10-22 | Zhuhai | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 3-6 7-5 |
| 2018-08-06 | Montreal | R16 | hard | Elise Mertens | 2-6 7-6(1) 6-0 |
| 2018-06-25 | Eastbourne | R16 | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 2-6 7-6(4) |
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Sabalenka A.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Clear edge
80
98
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
98
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
75
100
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Clear edge
74
86
Mertens E.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Draw
Final
Mertens E.[2]
Sabalenka A.
7-56-2
Quarter-finals
Voegele S.
Korpatsch T.
6-46-3
Sabalenka A.
Giorgi C.
6-36-0
Mertens E.[2]
Barthel M.
6-45-77-60
Lapko V.
Flipkens K.
6-47-64
R16
Lapko V.
Kovinic D.
6-26-3
Korpatsch T.
Von Deichmann K.
7-626-4
Giorgi C.
Van Uytvanck A.[9]
6-26-1
Flipkens K.
Sasnovich A.[8]
4-66-46-2
Mertens E.[2]
Vondrousova M.
6-25-77-5
Sabalenka A.
Hercog P.
6-36-1
Voegele S.
Cornet A.[6]
2-67-56-3
Barthel M.
Vekic D.
6-34-66-4
R32
Von Deichmann K.
Siegemund L.
7-652-3
Korpatsch T.
Mladenovic K.[1]
7-653-2
Lapko V.
Kontaveit A.[4]
3-66-46-3
Sasnovich A.[8]
Hogenkamp R.
7-646-0
Vekic D.
Cadantu Ignatik A.
6-07-5
Giorgi C.
Pliskova K.
6-36-2
Barthel M.
Kuznetsova S.[5]
4-66-36-4
Cornet A.[6]
Teichmann J.
7-626-0
Flipkens K.
Witthoeft C.
1-66-46-3
Van Uytvanck A.[9]
Dodin O.
6-46-2
Mertens E.[2]
Minella M.
6-46-1
Hercog P.
Hsieh S.
7-56-0
Kovinic D.
Golubic V.
7-663-66-4
Voegele S.
Frech M.
6-36-3
Vondrousova M.
Putintseva Y.
4-67-626-3
Sabalenka A.
Buzarnescu M.[7]
5-76-36-2