Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise Mertens — Wimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 16
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR1
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
1987Grass ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
grass
Elise Mertens
BEL25
Elise Mertens
#27WTA
1894ELO
1750Grass ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Sabalenka A.
6-4 7-6
Mertens E.
Sabalenka A.
6772
Mertens E.
4640

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elise Mertens 6-4 7-6 in the Wimbledon round of 16 on grass. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 10–2. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 11–2.

Key context

Head to head

10–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-22MadridR32clayAryna Sabalenka3-6 6-2 6-1
2025-04-14StuttgartQFclayAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-1
2024-08-26US OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-3
2021-08-30US OpenR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-1
2021-04-29MadridQFclayAryna Sabalenka6-1 4-0 RET
2020-11-09LinzFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-2
2020-02-17DubaiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2019-10-22ZhuhaiRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 3-6 7-5
2018-08-06MontrealR16hardElise Mertens2-6 7-6(1) 6-0
2018-06-25EastbourneR16grassAryna Sabalenka7-5 2-6 7-6(4)
2018-04-09LuganoFclayElise Mertens7-5 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Mertens E.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Sabalenka A.Mertens E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 68). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sabalenka A.Mertens E.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
80
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
90
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sabalenka A.
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Mertens E.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+237 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Grass Elo 1750
9.3Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1894
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
7.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.3
Country comfort
5.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sabalenka A.Mertens E.
Freshness·Clear edge
86
74

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Mertens E.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-06-0
Semi-finals
Anisimova A.[6]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-44-66-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Bencic B.[11]
6-26-0
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Samsonova L.[19]
6-27-5
Bencic B.[11]
Andreeva M.[5]
7-637-62
Anisimova A.[6]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-17-69
Sabalenka A.[1]
Siegemund L.
4-66-26-4
R16
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mertens E.[25]
6-47-64
Anisimova A.[6]
Noskova L.[9]
6-25-76-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Tauson C.[24]
6-46-1
Andreeva M.[5]
Navarro E.[23]
6-26-3
Siegemund L.
Sierra S.
6-36-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Kartal S.
7-636-4
Bencic B.[11]
Alexandrova E.[18]
7-646-4
Samsonova L.[19]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
7-57-5
R32
Anisimova A.[6]
Galfi D.[10]
6-35-76-3
Mertens E.[25]
Svitolina E.[8]
6-17-64
Noskova L.[9]
Rakhimova K.
7-667-5
Siegemund L.
Keys M.[26]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Collins D.
6-26-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Osaka N.[14]
3-66-46-4
Tauson C.[24]
Rybakina E.[2]
7-666-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Raducanu E.[30]
7-666-4
Andreeva M.[5]
Baptiste H.
6-16-3
Bencic B.[11]
Cocciaretto E.
6-43-67-67
Navarro E.[23]
Krejcikova B.[17]
2-66-36-4
Sierra S.
Bucsa C.
7-51-66-1
Kartal S.
Parry D.
6-46-2
Alexandrova E.[18]
Sonmez Z.
6-37-61
Samsonova L.[19]
Kasatkina D.[16]
6-26-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Yastremska D.
6-12-66-3
R64
Kartal S.
Tomova V.
6-26-2
Galfi D.[10]
Haddad Maia B.[21]
7-676-1
Alexandrova E.[18]
Lamens S.[27]
6-46-0
Cocciaretto E.
Volynets K.[5]
6-06-4
Svitolina E.[8]
Sasnovich A.[15]
6-26-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Krueger A.
7-646-4
Andreeva M.[5]
Bronzetti L.[20]
6-17-64
Siegemund L.
Fernandez L.[22]
6-26-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Sakkari M.
6-36-1
Bucsa C.
Vekic D.[31]
6-16-3
Mertens E.[25]
Li A.[28]
6-756-16-2
Keys M.[26]
Danilovic O.
6-46-2
Rakhimova K.
Paolini J.[13]
4-66-46-4
Noskova L.[9]
Lys E.
6-22-66-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Zarazua R.
6-46-3
Parry D.
Shnaider D.[15]
6-46-1
Tauson C.[24]
Kalinskaya A.[19]
6-37-610
Sonmez Z.
Wang X.
7-57-5
Krejcikova B.[17]
Dolehide C.
6-43-66-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Kenin S.[28]
6-17-64
Sierra S.
Boulter K.
6-776-26-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzkova M.[21]
7-646-4
Raducanu E.[30]
Vondrousova M.
6-36-3
Osaka N.[14]
Siniakova K.[32]
6-36-2
Baptiste H.
Mboko V.
7-666-3
Navarro E.[23]
Kudermetova V.
6-16-2
Bencic B.[11]
Jacquemot E.
4-66-16-2
Swiatek I.[3]
Mcnally C.
5-76-26-1
Collins D.
Erjavec V.
6-46-1
Kasatkina D.[16]
Begu I.
6-24-66-1
Samsonova L.[19]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-26-1
Yastremska D.
Zakharova A.
5-77-57-68
R128
Tomova V.
Jabeur O.
7-652-0
Sasnovich A.[15]
Gracheva V.
6-46-757-68
Volynets K.[5]
Maria T.
3-67-646-1
Kudermetova V.
Zhu L.[30]
6-36-2
Krueger A.
Stojsavljevic M.
6-36-2
Shnaider D.[15]
Uchijima M.[8]
7-656-3
Bronzetti L.[20]
Teichmann J.[24]
6-47-5
Lamens S.[27]
Jovic I.[16]
6-16-1
Tauson C.[24]
Watson H.
2-66-46-3
Galfi D.[10]
Dart H.
3-66-37-5
Swiatek I.[3]
Kudermetova P.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[5]
Sherif M.[21]
6-36-3
Bouzkova M.[21]
Sun L.[9]
6-46-4
Krejcikova B.[17]
Eala A.[29]
3-66-26-1
Paolini J.[13]
Sevastova A.
2-66-36-2
Svitolina E.[8]
Bondar A.
6-36-1
Kalinskaya A.[19]
Stojanovic N.
6-37-64
Cocciaretto E.
Pegula J.[4]
6-26-3
Anisimova A.[6]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-0
Navarro E.[23]
Kvitova P.
6-36-1
Raducanu E.[30]
Xu M.
6-36-3
Yastremska D.
Gauff C.[7]
7-636-1
Erjavec V.
Kostyuk M.[12]
3-66-36-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Avanesyan E.
6-26-1
Keys M.[26]
Ruse E.
6-747-57-5
Noskova L.[9]
Pera B.
6-26-4
Osaka N.[14]
Gibson T.
6-47-64
Siniakova K.[32]
Zheng Q.[5]
7-54-66-1
Fernandez L.[22]
Klugman H.
6-16-3
Sakkari M.
Blinkova A.
6-46-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Seidel E.
6-33-2
Mboko V.
Frech M.[25]
6-36-2
Mcnally C.
Burrage J.
6-36-1
Danilovic O.
Zhang S.
6-26-4
Rakhimova K.
Ito A.
5-76-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Jones F.
1-66-36-1
Kasatkina D.[16]
Arango E.
7-56-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Branstine C.
6-17-5
Dolehide C.
Rus A.
6-26-2
Zakharova A.
Azarenka V.
6-22-66-1
Samsonova L.[19]
Joint M.
6-36-2
Sierra S.
Gadecki O.
6-27-68
Vondrousova M.
Kessler M.[32]
6-17-63
Mertens E.[25]
Fruhvirtova L.
6-46-2
Li A.[28]
Golubic V.
6-34-66-1
Boulter K.
Badosa P.[9]
6-23-66-4
Bucsa C.
Todoni A.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[31]
Birrell K.
6-06-4
Siegemund L.
Stearns P.
6-46-2
Lys E.
Yuan Y.[17]
6-45-76-2
Haddad Maia B.[21]
Sramkova R.[16]
7-676-4
Zarazua R.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-3
Parry D.
Martic P.
4-66-36-2
Kartal S.
Ostapenko J.[20]
7-52-66-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Tomljanovic A.
4-66-36-2
Baptiste H.
Cirstea S.[17]
6-706-16-2
Wang X.
Muchova K.[10]
7-56-2
Sonmez Z.
Cristian J.
7-636-3
Alexandrova E.[18]
Hon P.
6-27-5
Jacquemot E.
Linette M.[27]
6-776-16-4
Bencic B.[11]
Parks A.
6-06-3
Collins D.
Osorio C.
6-36-2
Begu I.
Juvan K.
7-661-66-3
Kenin S.[28]
Townsend T.
7-656-2