Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta KostyukRoland Garros Round of 128

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 128
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 May 2023
clay
#13WTA
2057ELO
1992Clay ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Sabalenka A.
6-3 6-2
Kostyuk M.
Sabalenka A.
662
Kostyuk M.
320

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Marta Kostyuk 6-3 6-2 in the Roland Garros round of 128 on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's round of 32. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2025-05-06RomeR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-1 7-6(8)
2025-04-22MadridQFclayAryna Sabalenka7-6(4) 7-6(7)
2022-02-14DubaiR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Kostyuk M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sabalenka A.Kostyuk M.
Serve
61
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 163). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
93
Break points won·Even
100
98
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+111 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1992
7.8Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 2057
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
65

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Kostyuk M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 82 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw

R128
Swiatek I.[3]
Bucsa C.[31]
6-46-0
Peterson R.
Ferro F.
6-26-0
Navarro E.
Andreeva E.
6-23-66-4
Bolsova A.
Kucova K.
6-26-1
Day K.
Mladenovic K.
7-56-1
Danilovic O.
Baindl K.
6-36-2
Dodin O.
Janicijevic S.
0-66-26-1
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-2
Samsonova L.[20]
Volynets K.
6-06-1
Giorgi C.
Cornet A.
6-36-4
Stearns P.
Siniakova K.
7-676-2
Ostapenko J.[29]
Martincova T.
6-37-5
Osorio C.
Bogdan A.
3-66-37-5
Haddad Maia B.[14]
Maria T.
6-06-1
Andreescu B.[25]
Azarenka V.[18]
2-66-36-4
Waltert S.
Mandlik E.
6-14-66-2
Shnaider D.[25]
Marino R.
6-37-5
Stephens S.
Pliskova K.[20]
6-06-4
Frech M.
Zhang S.[29]
6-16-1
Kasatkina D.[9]
Niemeier J.
6-36-4
Noskova L.[12]
Kovinic D.
6-32-1
Alexandrova E.[14]
Tomova V.
6-12-66-1
Davis L.
Zhu L.
6-36-3
Tsurenko L.
Krejcikova B.[13]
6-26-4
Parry D.
Kalinina A.[25]
6-26-3
Grabher J.
Rus A.
6-26-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Burel C.
7-606-2
Martic P.
Rogers S.[32]
3-66-36-2
Friedsam A.
Hibino N.
6-33-66-4
Pera B.
Kontaveit A.
7-666-2
Vekic D.[22]
Yastremska D.
6-27-5
Jabeur O.[7]
Bronzetti L.
6-46-1
Podoroska N.
Ponchet J.
6-06-2
Errani S.
Teichmann J.
3-66-46-2
Muchova K.[10]
Sakkari M.[8]
7-657-5
Jeanjean L.
Birrell K.
6-46-766-3
Fernandez L.[24]
Linette M.[21]
6-31-66-3
Avanesyan E.
Bencic B.[11]
6-32-66-4
Potapova A.[28]
Townsend T.
6-16-2
Sherif M.
Brengle M.
6-36-1
Blinkova A.
Bonaventure Y.
6-26-0
Hunter S.
Parrizas Diaz N.
4-66-26-4
Svitolina E.[7]
Trevisan M.[26]
6-26-2
Vondrousova M.
Parks A.
6-46-0
Gracheva V.
Galfi D.
6-42-66-1
Rakhimova K.
Bejlek S.
6-06-3
Shymanovich I.
Udvardy P.
6-766-36-1
Schmiedlova A.
Kudermetova V.[11]
6-36-1
Putintseva Y.
Zanevska M.
7-57-63
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-36-2
Begu I.[27]
Bondar A.
6-46-2
Tauson C.[21]
Sasnovich A.[14]
6-26-0
Cocciaretto E.
Kvitova P.[10]
6-36-4
Liu C.
In Albon Y.
6-16-4
Andreeva M.[8]
Riske Amritraj A.
6-26-1
Keys M.[19]
Kanepi K.
6-13-66-1
Gauff C.[4]
Masarova R.
3-66-16-2
Paolini J.[13]
Cirstea S.[18]
7-52-66-2
Mertens E.[23]
Hruncakova V.
6-16-4
Pegula J.[5]
Collins D.
6-46-2
Garcia C.[5]
Wang X.[32]
7-644-66-4
Zheng Q.[19]
Zidansek T.[22]
6-36-1
Rybakina E.[2]
Fruhvirtova B.
6-46-2
Wang X.
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-47-65