Aryna Sabalenka vs Katerina SiniakovaWuhan Round of 32

Wuhan · WTA · Round of 32
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 October 2024
hard
#36WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Sabalenka A.
6-4 6-4
Siniakova K.
Sabalenka A.
662
Siniakova K.
440

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Katerina Siniakova 6-4 6-4 in the Wuhan round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Aryna Sabalenka edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-09-21StrasbourgQFclayAryna Sabalenka2-6 6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Siniakova K.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Siniakova K.
96
Serve
21
39
Return
64

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (165 vs 132). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
75
Break points won·Slight edge
100
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
46
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+394 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1807
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1846
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.0
Country comfort
5.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
95

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Siniakova K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
18°CDrizzle
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw