Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy PaulWimbledon Quarter-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Quarter-final
#2ATP
2272ELO
2139Grass ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 July 2024
grass
Tommy Paul
USA
[12]
#28ATP
1935ELO
1765Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Alcaraz C.
56663
Paul T.
74221

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Tommy Paul 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2 in the Wimbledon quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending the title. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.7+374 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.3Grass Elo 1765
9.3Overall Elo 2272
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1935
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.6
Surface form
7.8
0.0
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
5.2
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.1
Country comfort
6.2
Context
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.10
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 54%

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(6) 6-4 7-5
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-0 6-1 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6(7)
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6(6) 6-7(0) 6-3
2023-08-07Canada MastersQFhardTommy Paul6-3 4-6 6-3
2023-03-20Miami MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2022-08-08Canada MastersR32hardTommy Paul6-7(4) 7-6(7) 6-3

Statistics

Recent form
68%1st serve in+4%64%
73%1st serve points won+3%76%
56%2nd serve points won+2%54%
68%Service points won68%
42%Return points won+4%38%
68%Break points saved+8%60%
4.5Aces / match+2.87.3
2.5Double faults / match+1.11.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

R128
Sinner J.[1]
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-43-66-3
Berrettini M.
Fucsovics M.
7-636-23-66-1
Kecmanovic M.
Nagal S.
6-23-66-36-4
Shapovalov D.
Jarry N.[19]
6-17-56-4
Harris L.
Michelsen A.
3-64-67-656-27-69
Dimitrov G.[10]
Lajovic D.
6-36-47-5
Wawrinka S.
Broom C.
6-37-56-4
Zhang Z.[32]
Janvier M.
7-646-36-2
Struff J.
Marozsan F.
6-46-746-26-3
Muller A.
Gaston H.
6-47-627-65
Coric B.
Meligeni Alves F.
6-37-626-3
Tiafoe F.[29]
Arnaldi M.
6-752-66-16-36-3
Nakashima B.
Baez S.[18]
6-26-36-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Broady L.
6-24-66-36-2
Paul T.[12]
Martinez P.
6-26-14-66-3
Virtanen O.
Purcell M.
6-36-26-2
Cazaux A.
Bergs Z.
6-16-46-726-747-68
Bublik A.[23]
Mensik J.
4-66-726-46-46-2
Sonego L.
Navone M.[31]
6-47-626-4
Fognini F.
Van Assche L.
6-16-37-5
Walton A.
Coria F.
6-36-37-5
Darderi L.
Choinski J.
7-54-62-67-56-2
Musetti L.[25]
Lestienne C.
4-67-646-26-2
Nishioka Y.
Borges N.
6-27-662-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[11]
Daniel T.
7-656-47-5
Fritz T.[13]
Oconnell C.
6-16-26-4
Rinderknech A.
Nishikori K.
5-76-46-726-36-2
Cobolli F.
Hijikata R.
7-54-66-46-4
Norrie C.
Diaz Acosta F.
7-57-56-3
Zverev A.[4]
Carballes Baena R.
6-26-46-2
Machac T.
Goffin D.
3-63-66-46-17-65
Kokkinakis T.
Auger Aliassime F.[17]
4-65-77-696-46-4
Fearnley J.
Moro Canas A.
7-56-47-612
Giron M.
Searle H.
3-66-36-46-4
Khachanov K.[21]
Karatsev A.
6-36-747-6112-0
Altmaier D.
Fery A.
4-67-661-66-36-1
Thompson J.
Kotov P.
5-75-76-46-46-4
Ruusuvuori E.
Mcdonald M.
7-664-65-77-666-3
Draper J.[28]
Ymer E.
3-66-36-34-66-3
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Korda S.[20]
7-656-747-666-746-3
Rune H.[15]
Kwon S.
6-16-46-4
Tabilo A.[24]
Evans D.
6-27-56-3
Comesana F.
Rublev A.[6]
6-45-76-27-65
Alcaraz C.[3]
Lajal M.
7-637-56-2
Ruud C.[8]
Bolt A.
7-626-46-4
Shang J.
Garin C.
7-56-46-4
Monfils G.
Mannarino A.[22]
6-43-67-56-4
Safiullin R.
Cerundolo F.[26]
6-753-67-56-36-4
Pouille L.
Djere L.
3-67-643-66-36-1
Munar J.
Harris B.
6-46-43-66-3
De Minaur A.[9]
Duckworth J.
7-617-637-64
Halys Q.
Eubanks C.
6-46-46-2
Etcheverry T.[30]
Nardi L.
6-16-46-2
Popyrin A.
Monteiro T.
6-46-786-36-4
Griekspoor T.[27]
Galan D.
7-636-36-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Kovacevic A.
6-36-46-2
Bautista Agut R.
Marterer M.
6-36-16-4
Shelton B.[14]
Bellucci M.
4-66-33-66-36-4
Vukic A.
Ofner S.
6-796-46-43-67-68
Humbert U.[16]
Shevchenko A.
6-14-67-626-736-1
Hurkacz H.[7]
Albot R.
5-76-46-36-4
Fils A.
Stricker D.
6-36-23-66-4
Seyboth Wild T.
Jubb P.
1-63-67-666-47-5
Djokovic N.[2]
Kopriva V.
6-16-26-2