Nicolas Jarry vs Tommy PaulRome Masters Semi-final

Rome Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#211ATP
1648ELO
1642Clay ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
#25ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Jarry N.
6-3 6-7 6-3
Paul T.
Jarry N.
66362
Paul T.
37731

Nicolas Jarry defeated Tommy Paul 6-3 6-7 6-3 in the Rome Masters semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, defending last year's round of 64. Nicolas Jarry extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Nicolas Jarry closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-29Roland GarrosR64clayNicolas Jarry3-6 6-1 6-4 7-5
2020-01-13AdelaideQ2hardTommy Paul6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Jarry N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Jarry N.Paul T.
Serve
34
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.7
6.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 130). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
93
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
4
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
57
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Clay Elo 1642
Surface ELO
7.8+244 Clay Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 1949
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.4
Surface form
5.2
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
7.1
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%
Semi-finals
Zverev A.[3]
Tabilo A.[29]
1-67-646-2
Jarry N.[21]
Paul T.[14]
6-36-736-3