Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev — Indian Wells Masters Final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Final
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP2
Carlos Alcaraz
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 4 March 2024
hard
Daniil Medvedev
RUS4
Daniil Medvedev
#8ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Alcaraz C.
7-6 6-1
Medvedev D.
Alcaraz C.
7762
Medvedev D.
6510

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Daniil Medvedev 7-6 6-1 in the Indian Wells Masters final on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 5–3, defending the title. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 6–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

5–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersSFhardDaniil Medvedev6-3 7-6(3)
2024-09-26BeijingSFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-3
2024-07-01WimbledonSFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-7(1) 6-3 6-4 6-4
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenSFhardDaniil Medvedev7-6(3) 6-1 3-6 6-3
2023-07-03WimbledonSFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-3 6-3
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-2
2021-06-28WimbledonR64grassDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-1 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Medvedev D.
75
Serve
47
95
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Alcaraz C.Medvedev D.
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
49%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.2
7.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (170 vs 157). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Alcaraz C.Medvedev D.
Clutch Rating·Even
98
96
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Alcaraz C.
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Medvedev D.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+126 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1962
8.4Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1977
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.4
Surface form
8.1
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.8
Country comfort
6.3
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Alcaraz C.Medvedev D.
Freshness·
—
90

Medvedev D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 29%
Final
Alcaraz C.[2]
Medvedev D.[4]
7-656-1
Semi-finals
Medvedev D.[4]
Paul T.[17]
1-67-636-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Sinner J.[3]
1-66-36-2
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[3]
Lehecka J.[32]
6-36-3
Paul T.[17]
Ruud C.[9]
6-21-66-3
Medvedev D.[4]
Rune H.[7]
7-56-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Zverev A.[6]
6-36-1
R16
Zverev A.[6]
De Minaur A.[10]
5-76-26-3
Rune H.[7]
Fritz T.[12]
2-67-626-3
Ruud C.[9]
Monfils G.
3-67-636-4
Medvedev D.[4]
Dimitrov G.[13]
6-46-4
Lehecka J.[32]
Tsitsipas S.[11]
6-26-4
Sinner J.[3]
Shelton B.[16]
7-646-1
Alcaraz C.[2]
Marozsan F.
6-36-3
Paul T.[17]
Nardi L.
6-46-3
R32
Dimitrov G.[13]
Mannarino A.[21]
6-36-3
Paul T.[17]
Humbert U.[14]
6-46-4
Ruud C.[9]
Fils A.
6-26-4
Monfils G.
Norrie C.[28]
6-757-656-3
Fritz T.[12]
Baez S.[19]
6-26-2
Rune H.[7]
Musetti L.[26]
6-27-65
Lehecka J.[32]
Rublev A.[5]
6-46-4
Shelton B.[16]
Cerundolo F.[22]
7-653-67-65
Sinner J.[3]
Struff J.[25]
6-36-4
Zverev A.[6]
Griekspoor T.[27]
7-676-3
De Minaur A.[10]
Bublik A.[20]
7-56-0
Marozsan F.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-26-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[31]
6-26-3
Medvedev D.[4]
Korda S.[29]
6-45-76-3
Nardi L.
Djokovic N.[1]
6-43-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[11]
Tiafoe F.[18]
6-36-3
R64
Nardi L.
Zhang Z.
6-33-66-3
Ruud C.[9]
Klein L.
6-47-64
Mannarino A.[21]
Machac T.
6-16-2
Fritz T.[12]
Tabilo A.
7-626-2
Rune H.[7]
Raonic M.
W/O
Cerundolo F.[22]
Shevchenko A.
6-23-1
Bublik A.[20]
Shang J.
6-46-1
De Minaur A.[10]
Daniel T.
6-16-2
Auger Aliassime F.[31]
Lestienne C.
6-46-1
Korda S.[29]
Safiullin R.
6-46-2
Norrie C.[28]
Sonego L.
6-46-4
Monfils G.
Hurkacz H.[8]
6-06-756-2
Medvedev D.[4]
Carballes Baena R.
6-26-3
Baez S.[19]
Fognini F.
7-56-3
Musetti L.[26]
Shapovalov D.
6-42-67-5
Rublev A.[5]
Murray A.
7-636-1
Lehecka J.[32]
Nakashima B.
3-66-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[11]
Pouille L.
6-36-2
Shelton B.[16]
Mensik J.
4-66-36-4
Struff J.[25]
Coric B.
6-736-27-69
Sinner J.[3]
Kokkinakis T.
6-36-0
Zverev A.[6]
Oconnell C.
6-46-4
Griekspoor T.[27]
Hanfmann Y.
6-36-3
Seyboth Wild T.
Khachanov K.[15]
6-17-5
Marozsan F.
Jarry N.[24]
3-67-56-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Arnaldi M.
6-756-06-1
Humbert U.[14]
Kypson P.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.[13]
Muller A.
7-56-2
Paul T.[17]
Michelsen A.
6-26-2
Tiafoe F.[18]
Lajovic D.
6-36-3
Fils A.
Davidovich Fokina A.[23]
6-36-4
Djokovic N.[1]
Vukic A.
6-25-76-3
R128
Vukic A.
Mochizuki S.
7-647-66
Lajovic D.
Ruusuvuori E.
7-56-2
Mensik J.
Hong S.
6-36-4
Arnaldi M.
Van Assche L.
7-667-63
Shapovalov D.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-16-4
Pouille L.
Altmaier D.
6-46-3
Zhang Z.
Kovacevic A.
6-726-37-5
Michelsen A.
Munar J.
6-26-3
Kypson P.
Quinn E.
6-17-61
Klein L.
Moreno De Alboran N.
7-686-4
Fils A.
Borges N.
7-656-2
Sonego L.
Kecmanovic M.
7-616-4
Monfils G.
Purcell M.
6-16-2
Carballes Baena R.
Cobolli F.
6-46-4
Safiullin R.
Evans D.
6-15-76-2
Machac T.
Wawrinka S.
7-634-66-2
Muller A.
Grenier H.
7-657-5
Fognini F.
Zapata Miralles B.
4-66-26-3
Raonic M.
Nagal S.
6-36-3
Murray A.
Goffin D.
6-36-2
Nakashima B.
Eubanks C.
6-37-63
Coric B.
Ofner S.
6-23-66-0
Kokkinakis T.
Giron M.
6-37-5
Oconnell C.
Draper J.
1-66-36-2
Hanfmann Y.
Cachin P.
6-776-46-1
Shang J.
Thompson J.
6-26-3
Daniel T.
Galan D.
6-46-1
Seyboth Wild T.
Wolf J.
6-26-1
Marozsan F.
Rodionov J.
6-36-2
Lestienne C.
Kudla D.
3-66-26-4
Tabilo A.
Kotov P.
4-66-37-5
Shevchenko A.
Koepfer D.
6-31-67-63